What a storm. What a battle right? AMC keeps on keeping on, and although AMC has been on discount recently, the stock has finally broken its $30 level of resistance.
Retail investors are very excited about the data that’s been collected for months now. Will we see an AMC short squeeze while we continue to ride this bull? And if so, how soon?
Welcome to Franknez.com – the blog where you can digest posts on personal finance, side hustle ideas, entrepreneurship, and trending investing topics.
Lets get started!
How soon will we see an AMC short squeeze? Retail investors all want to know. Is it this week? Will it be next week? Or, are we looking at a longer game here? Here’s what we know.
- AMC closed at $46.84 on September 15th. The stock has surged since early this year due to volume despite short sellers attacking it. AMC Entertainment is set up for a short squeeze.
- The perfect time to buy AMC stock is when the market is red, or what we refer to as on ‘discount’. AMC is looking bullish though, red days might just be over.
- AMC entertainment continues to be the most heavily shorted stock in the market.
- AMC’s short borrow fee continues to increase.
Some of you reading this article might have been holding since February now. Kuddos to you for holding the line. If you’re a new retail investor getting in on AMC be sure to thank the seasoned apes when you get a chance.
Below is a series of documented facts and positive news that all influence AMC’s potential towards a short squeeze. One thing is certain, it’s inevitable.
AMC stock news and highlights
This is the type of news retail investors need to keep an eye out for.
AMC is still currently the most shorted stock in the market.
Unfortunately, MarketWatch has completely obliterated AMC from their list. Being a hedge fund affiliate, retail investors suspect foul play.
President and CEO of AMC Entertainment Adam Aron, announced AMC will reopen all 13 AMC theaters in New York City as of March 5th. As of today, all AMC movie theaters are now open across the United States with many selling out.
Check out what Adam Aron had to say (via. Investor Relations AMC)
“Since reopening our first theatres with AMC Safe & Clean in August, AMC has welcomed back nearly 10 million moviegoers nationwide without a single reported case of COVID-19 transmission among moviegoers at our theatres. We look forward to welcoming back our New York City guests to the big seats, big sounds and big screens that are only possible at a movie theatre.”Adam aron, President and CEO of AMC Entertainment
For those who thought AMC was a dead company, think again. The company is now generating big revenue since it’s reopening.
Melvin Capital suffered 49% loss 1st quarter
This is huge! Melvin Capital is a hedge fund that has been shorting both AMC and GME stock.
Melvin Capital suffered a 49% loss it’s first quarter of 2021, via. Markets Insider.
Here’s why this matters:
- Not only are shorts losing money every day but huge hedge funds are bleeding
- This is a huge win for retail investors
- Unless shorts close their positions, hedge funds will continue to suffer
- Interest rates can skyrocket for short sellers enabling them to close their positions
- An AMC short squeeze might be closer than we think
Here’s what retail investors can do:
- Continue to hold your positions, it’s free
- Buy the dips to counter any short attacks
- Share articles on social platforms that can provide value to the community
- Keep a close eye on the stock to not miss the squeeze
I’m going to discuss a little more on the short borrow fee that continues to increase for these hedge funds shorting the stock. This is going to be a massive component to a short squeeze.
Positive news for AMC Entertainment
- AMC Entertainment has raised more than 2.2 billion dollars in cash
- 90% of AMC theaters in the United States are now open with New York and Los Angeles finally reopening
- Vaccinations and policies are making movie theaters safe
- New movie titles are guaranteed to increase sales revenues
- CEO and President Adam Aron expresses an optimistic future for AMC Entertainment
- AMC Entertainment has implemented a Safe & Clean program under the advisement from Harvard University’s prestigious School of Public health as well as well as the No. 1 U.S. cleaning brand, The Clorox Company. This means movie goers can now return at ease knowing a proper sanitation program has been put in place.
Hedge fund affiliate partners such as MarketWatch, The Fool, and other finance website have been trying to redirect the public from investing in this stock. That’s primarily because hedge funds are losing millions by the day.
A short squeeze could even put them out of business. This is why it’s important for me to spread the positive news surrounding AMC. I don’t believe in the manipulation of the media and I will continue to update these articles as more great news unfolds.
There will not be a 500 million AMC share dilution!
In recent news, Adam Aron has announced that AMC Entertainment no longer plans on proceeding with the plans of adding 500 million more AMC shares to the arsenal in a tweet on Tuesday, April 27th.
You can read AMC Entertainment’s official announcement on their press release page here.
Is AMC Shorted?
AMC’s short interest is close to 20%. As of 9/15, we’re seeing 1,900,000 short shares have been made available to borrow, via Stonk-O-Tracker. AMC continues to be heavily shorted despite what mainstream media claims.
AMC’s short shares available will be updated here so be sure to bookmark this page.
Was Adam Aron’s approval request of a 500 and 25 million share dilution to his shareholders a strategy to trick shorts into borrowing more shares? I personally think so and it’s absolutely genius. Shorts continue to borrow shares.
While shorts might have the capability to short AMC stock, this is only temporary. They will run out of borrowed shares and eventually have to cover. There are finally investigations going around regarding naked shorting.
Yeah.. I sense a grand mother of all short squeezes. #GMOASS
What does this mean for the AMC shareholder?
Expect to see gains after shorts have run out of borrowed shares to use. Hedge funds and short sellers alike have dug a deeper hole for themselves. What this means for the AMC shareholder is a squeeze bigger than anything the market has ever seen before. I am personally doubling down.
Not only is bankruptcy off the table (via. Los Angeles Times), but AMC movie theaters are now about to begin reopening in larger parts of the United States. Which of course now introduces revenue.
AMC Q1 earnings for 2021
AMC announced their Q1 earnings for 2021 on Thursday, May 6th. Things are looking particularly bullish and optimistic to say the very least.
For the retail investor this means the upper hand is yours. AMC Entertainment has raised over $2 billion dollars to hold them off until the year 2022. And we still have to go through Q2, Q3, and Q4!
Unfortunately for hedge funds shorting the stock, it’s over. If you missed the conference call you can view it here for your viewing pleasure.
AMC Q1 2021 highlights
- The AMC community is recognized
- Q1 earnings are higher than last years 4th quarter
- Expectations for Q2 – Q4 are much higher
- Food and beverage sales are up by 45%
- Sales revenue will continue to rise as new titles are being released
AMC Q2 earnings for 2021
Quarter 2 earnings for AMC were absolutely amazing! I published an entire article on this information you can read all about here.
AMC Q2 2021 highlights
- Record breaking $2 billion in liquidity
- Increased revenue / tickets & concession
- AMC to accept Bitcoin by the end of the year
- GameStop partnership
- Enhancing the cinema experience with sports and music performance
When will an AMC short squeeze happen?
It’s really hard to tell. Even experts can’t identify an exact date and time. However, the possibility of an AMC short squeeze is certainly possible given that it is still the most shorted stock in the market and the stocks volume continues to rise. We also now have more data then ever before that indicate a massive short squeeze is almost certain to happen. Especially now that the SEC has announced some crackdown on shorting.
With Melvin Capital and other hedge funds losing money, it’s only a matter of time before the short borrow fee continues to skyrocket and shorts have to close their positions.
It’s tendie time!
Analyst AMC predictions
With that being said, Trey’s Trades predicts a short squeeze is now certainly guaranteed. Trey has been a leader in the AMC community and deserves a spot on this page.
More data points towards the stock reaching $1000+ per share.
See what stock analyst Trey has to say.
The real questions is how can retail investors make this AMC short squeeze happen?
We know that short-sellers eventually have to cover their spots. This means that they will eventually have to buy AMC stock at the current share price.
- If retail investors continue to drive the share price up by buying the dip and holding their positions, short-sellers will have no other option than to buy from the retail investor at a higher share price.
NOTE: Retail investors do have to sell a bit as the price goes up in order to keep that momentum. Look at it as giving rats crumbs. Not only will they want more but they’ll need more.
2. Retail investors will also need to buy the climbs in order to show a demand for the stock. This doesn’t have to be huge buys, rather incremental to validate the current share price.
This play essentially creates a supply and demand scenario between retail investors and short-sellers. The results? A short squeeze.
Hedge funds are doing everything they can to prevent a short squeeze
How are they doing this?
- By promoting false information online (we’re certain you’ve seen it)
- Through strategies such as short-ladder attacks in the market
- And, by restricting certain brokerage accounts from allowing its retail investors to purchase or buy shorted stocks (Robing hood)
This is what retail investors can do to fight corruption
- Share content that presents facts (blog posts, analysis videos, etc.)
- Continue to educate yourself and make investment decisions based on your personal analysis
- Protect the community and one another
- Follow your instincts
What will a short squeeze look like?
We’ll begin to see a trend similar to that of GME (Gamestop). AMC will enter a bullish territory before hitting an ‘abnormal’ peak in which AMC would have ‘squoze’.
According to Trey’s Trades we’ve already hit the bottom. AMC continues to be heavily shorted through dark pools. This price level can be seen as a buying opportunity for retail investors looking to squeeze shorts out of their positions. We’ve seen resistant levels around $14-$16 recently which is a great push from $5. We’re now sitting at 46.84 per share.
Recent performance and news is leaving retail investors with positive speculations. An AMC short squeeze will certainly make headlines. Expect to see various gains prior to any sort of major peak as well as volatility.
Retail investors will have to hold their positions through upcoming gains if they want to see AMC short squeeze.
But most importantly, they’ll have to refrain from selling at the first sight of gains if they are to see bigger and more massive gains.
Gamma squeeze vs Short squeeze
Don’t confuse gains and momentum with a short squeeze.
Here’s the difference between a gamma squeeze and a short squeeze:
A gamma squeeze are momentum gains. These usually occur from call options closing in the pocket resulting in heavy buys or purchases in the market.
A short squeeze is vigorous and can spike with no warning. This is where you see 100% gains in a matter of seconds and minutes. A short squeeze can even reach 1000% and 10,000% gains.
AMC Short Squeeze Stock Prediction
New retail investors are wondering whether $1k, $10k, or even $100k per share is even possible.
Gabe from ReviewDork does some math that’s going to leave you with an open mind.
AMC stock price predictions range from $1,000 to $100k+.
Will AMC reach peaks like GME?
AMC has been fortunate enough to receive more publicity and hype than GME did, at least recently. The volume will speak for itself and retail investors will just have to wait to find out.
We’ve seen that abnormal gains are naturally part of a short squeeze. Volkswagen rose up to nearly $1,000 when it squeezed back in 2008 due to a similar strategy produced by car manufacturer Porsche.
Analysts are predicting AMC can even go above the $1K mark if retail investors and institutions alike continue to buy and hold their positions. Wouldn’t this be something. If you’re holding 1,000 shares and AMC spikes to $1K per share, you my friend have made 1 million dollars!
Is it too late to get in on AMC stock?
Absolutely not, at least not yet. AMC Entertainment is still heavily shorted. You will have to decide whether its current share price is worth it if trades at $100, $500, or even $1,000+. AMC Entertainment stock has not even started squeezing yet.
Redditors have touched base on this topic and advise anything below $100 is a buy. I’ve been personally buying the stock when it dips. This allows me to pick up more shares at a discount.
If you’re a beginner, I recommend buying 5-10 shares of AMC stock. This amount will give you a feel of the market. Not only is it affordable, but if the market is red you won’t see much loss on paper.
Where was AMC trading at before the pandemic?
AMC was actually trading between $30-$35 back in the booming party economy of 16′! AMC stock started to decline as their debt increased and hedge funds began to heavily short it.
Short sellers could have covered back in August when AMC’s stock price was trading at $30 levels. However, it doesn’t AMC is going back down to these levels. We broke past $50 and are trending upwards again, though we are seeing heavy shorting in the market.
What if a short squeeze doesn’t happen?
If an AMC short squeeze doesn’t occur, AMC stock price will still go up allowing shareholders to make at least some sort of profit.
With AMC theaters now open, it’s inevitable that the company will begin to see bigger sales revenue every time a new title is released. I update this post when new titles make the headlines regarding earnings.
Keep in mind that AMC’s share price during the booming party economy of 16′ was roughly around $30 per share. If a short squeeze doesn’t happen, fundamentals will continue to bring the stock up as more investors are buying the stock.
However, a short squeeze not happening is very unlikely as AMC is currently the most shorted stock in the market and most held stock, beating both Apple (AAPL) and Tesla (TSLA), via. NASDAQ. Majority of the float is also held by retail investors and short sellers are going to be forced to close their positions very soon, more on that coming up.
As Mark Cuban bluntly put it, keep holding.
Why hasn’t AMC squeezed yet?
AMC hasn’t squeezed yet primarily to two main reasons.
- We need more volume to drive the stock price action up
- Shorts need to close their positions
Volume really just comes to more and more retail investors as well as institutions getting in on AMC stock.
Regarding shorts covering, retail investors need to squeeze them out of their positions by holding their positions and helping increase AMC’s short borrow fee. You can keep tabs on AMC’s short borrow fee as it changes every day via. Ortex, or Fintel.
AMC short borrow fee
As of 9/15 AMC’s short borrow fee rate is 0.90%.
Aside from this, Wanda Group had caused a little bit of disruption for retail investors by profiting on the first sight of gains.
This turmoil was only short-term but is a reason why we’ve seen some selloff in the market a few weeks ago.
However, Adam Aron has recently brought awareness in an interview with Trey’s Trades that this selloff from Wanda is simply policy from China. Retail investors should not be concerned.
Is AMC Ever Going To Squeeze?
All the numbers point towards the right direction for a massive short squeeze. Shorts and hedge funds continue to lose money every day. The interest is growing at an alarming rate and AMC’s current utilization is around 90%.
The lives of these retail investors are about to completely change. Say goodbye to your old world.
A quick message from Frank Nez
A lot of you have been sharing my posts on Facebook Groups, Reddit, Discord chats, and Twitter. Words can’t explain how grateful I am for you sharing positive and valuable information for new retail investors to look at. So, I published this video to tell you just that. Thank you.
If you haven’t subscribed to our newsletter be sure to do so to stay informed when a new blog post is published. Blog posts will range from personal finance to business and even investing posts like this one.
You can support the blog on Patreon where you will also be able to access exclusive Frank Nez content (250 Members Challenge!).
What will an AMC short squeeze mean for you?
Let us know in the comments section below what an AMC short squeeze would mean for you! If you’re an AMC shareholder let us know in the comment section below.
#AMCtothemoon #Diamondhands #AMC1000 #SaveAMC