Tag: Short Squeeze (Page 1 of 10)

Citadel Has a Long History of Market Manipulation

Citadel Market Manipulation
Market News: Citadel and friends are entering the crypto space | Ken Griffin.

Ken Griffin and friends are entering the crypto world very soon — investors are concerned as Citadel has a history of several violations and fines.

EDX Markets plans to bring ‘traditional finance’ to the crypto space, a not so ‘traditional’ space to begin with.

The exchange made up of Citadel, Sequoia, Paradigm, Virtu, Charles Schwab, and Fidelity is debuting in November.

EDX Markets will start trading a limited number of spot, crypto tokens starting with a November trial period, with the official launch in January, per Bloomberg.

Similar to trading equities and options, EDX will allow investors to buy and sell digital assets through their existing broker dealer, rather than an outside venue or directly through a crypto-native exchange. 

“We’re taking some of the best features of traditional finance and bringing it to the digital markets to make it more efficient, and bring that cost saving to investors,” Nazarali said.

Nazarali is the former global head of business development at Citadel Securities.

But as many are aware, these financial institutions have a long history of playing unfair.

Will these sharks taint the crypto space too?

Let’s look at Citadel’s market manipulation history as well as other Citadel violations and fines in the past.

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Citadel Market Manipulation

Citadel Fines and market manipulation.
Citadel violation and fines – market manipulation.

2015

In 2015, an account operated in China by the brokerage arm of US hedge fund Citadel was suspended.

It was the latest casualty of regulators’ hunt for market manipulators and short sellers at the time.

The China Securities Regulatory Commission said that the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges had suspended 24 accounts as part of a probe into high-frequency trading.

The investigation focused on a practice known as “spoofing” in which an investor submits a buy or sell order but then withdraws it before a sale is completed — a practice that can mislead investors by creating the false impression that a stock is trading at a particular price.

Citadel confirmed that one of its accounts managed by Guosen Futures was among those suspended.

2017

SEC Citadel

In 2017 Citadel was fined by the SEC $22.6 million to settle charges of misleading conduct.

The hedge fund misled customers about the way it priced trades.

The SEC found that between 2007 and 2010, Citadel used two algorithms to execute stock trades on customers’ behalf that gave investors a worse price for their trades, even when Citadel knew better prices existed elsewhere.

“This affected millions of retail orders,” said Stephanie Avakian, the acting director of enforcement at the SEC at the time.

Citadel neither admitted nor denied the findings.

2021

Citadel violations and fines.
Citadel violations and fines – market manipulation.

In 2021, Failure-to-Delivers (FTDs) rose dramatically in the period leading up to January 28th, 2021, a phenomenon consistent with increasing short interest by market makers such as Citadel Securities.

FTDs are indictive of naked short selling, which occurs when a short seller does not actually possess the security it is supposed to borrow.

This practice is largely inaccessible to individual investors but accessible to market makers.

At the time, Citadel, Robinhood, and others restricted retail investors from buying ‘meme stocks’ in order to prevent escalating institutional losses.

Citadel eventually lost billions after betting against AMC Entertainment in 2021.

But the entire system needs a refresh – The DTCC waived a total of $9.7 billion of collateral deposit requirements on January 28, 2021, saving brokers, and screwing up retail investors.

2022

The Chicago Tribune published a piece explaining exactly what retail investors have been warning the SEC about.

Citadel Securities’ dark pool dominates a big part of the financial world, accounting for as much as half of U.S. stock market activity.

The Chicago Tribune says this prominent dark pool is run by Chicago Billionaire Ken Griffin’s Citadel Securities and has been targeting small scale retail investors.

And they’re not wrong.

Dark pools are typically involved in payment for order flow (PFOF), where they pay broker firms to receive retail order flow.

Brokers such as Robinhood and TD Ameritrade accept payment for order flow.

But retail investors have been bringing these nefarious practices in the market to light.

Related: Biotech Company Suing Citadel Over Market Manipulation

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Will MULN Stock Reach $1 Before Its September Deadline?

Will MULN stock Reach $1
Market News Daily: Will MULN stock reach $1?

Mullen Automotive (NASDAQ:MULN) stock avoided getting delisted when it failed to meet Nasdaq’s dollar bid requirement; will MULN stock reach $1 before its new September deadline?

Nasdaq approved a 180-day extension for Mullen Automotive to meet the minimum $1 bid price per share.

On Sept. 7, 2022, Nasdaq provided notice to the Company that, based on the previous 30 consecutive business days, the Company’s listed common stock no longer met the minimum $1 bid price per share requirement as set forth in Nasdaq Listing Rule.

The Company was provided 180 calendar days, or until March 6, 2023, to regain compliance.

If Mullen stock fails to trade above $1 for a minimum of 10 consecutive business days prior to Sept. 5, 2023, the Company will implement a reverse stock split to cure the Deficiency prior to the expiration of the additional 180-day compliance period.

MULN shares dropped below $0.20 on Thursday, currently trading around $0.18 per share.

The stock is now down -41% after analysts gave the company a +7,000% prediction for 2023.

This was around the time MULN stock was trading at $0.32 — giving Mullen Automotive a price target of $24.

Despite positive developments in the company, Mullen’s share price continues to plunge.

Shareholders say Mullen Automotive may have become a target to naked short selling.

Are Investors Still Bullish on MULN Stock?

Yet another reason why investors believe MULN stock is being naked shorted, all signs still point towards bullish sentiment — buyers still outweigh sellers.

For the entire year, we’ve seen the call options volume distribution lean heavily more towards calls, and indication investors are betting on the stock to rise.

And although volume has recently come down from earlier this year, call options continue to dominate put options in the derivatives market.

Investors are clearly bullish on MULN stock despite the massive price decline in the past months.

On Thursday, we’re seeing calls volume outweigh put options by more than 19K in volume.

In the past we’ve seen hundreds of thousands of call option volume outweighing put option orders.

New buyers of the stock have also recently come into the market.

MULN isn’t as heavily shorted as AMC or other retail favorites, yet it’s price seems to be getting suppressed like these other ‘meme stocks’.

Will MULN Stock Reach $1?

Market News Daily: Will MULN stock reach $1?
Market News Daily: Will MULN stock reach $1?

Something we’ve seen in earlier this year is that heavy buying pressure has been able to move the stock up — all it’s going to take for MULN stock to reach $1 is enough buying momentum from retail investors.

But many shareholders liquidity pool has also begun to dry up, with many being long-term buyers who are deep in unrealized losses.

However, new investors may be able to profit on a move from current levels up to $1 per share.

Here’s a statement from Mullen Automotive’s CEO in regard to the company stock reaching $1 per share.

“Consistent with my message to our shareholders, we will use our best efforts to regain compliance to meet Nasdaq’s requirement for a $1 minimum bid price,” said David Michery, CEO and chairman of Mullen Automotive.

Will you be buying MULN stock in efforts to capitalize on a price surge to $1?

Or are you simply holding and hoping for the best?

Leave your thoughts in the comment section below.

Your voice is powerful, please share this article to raise awareness.

Related: MULN Stock Avoids Getting Delisted for Now

Market News Published Daily

Market News Today - MULN reverse stock split
Market News Today – Will MULN stock reach $1?

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AMC Failure-to-Delivers Are Skyrocketing Through the Roof

Market News: AMC Failure-to-delivers rise in February.
Market News: AMC Failure-to-delivers rise in February.

AMC failure-to-delivers (FTDs) have been begun to rise again.

FTDs topped 6.8 million in February (non-cumulative), amounting to more than $36 million in failed to close orders.

The data is still being reported which means there’s a possibility we may see higher FTDs once February’s entire month has been processed.

AMC failure to deliver
AMC FTDs – Stocksera.

FTDs, or Failure-to-deliver occurs when one party in a trading contract (whether it’s shares, futures, or options) fails to deliver on their obligations.

These failures derive due to buyers not having enough money to take delivery and pay for the transaction at settlement.

In the case of sellers, it means not having the goods to meet that transaction.

Failure-to-delivers can occur in options trading or when selling short naked, per Investopedia.

According to Investopedia, AMC failure-to-delivers can also occur if there is a technical problem in the settlement process carried out by the respective parties (clearing houses).

Investors say there’s a major conflict of interest when Citadel Clearing LLC processes retail orders worldwide.

Are AMC’s FTDs a result of naked shorting?

Majority of the retail community seems to think so.

Companies are even beginning to take legal action against the predatorial short selling strategy.

GNS CEO Shares Petition to End Naked Shorting

Recently, Genius Group ($GNS) CEO Roger Hamilton shared a petition to end naked shorting in the market.

The Naked Shorts War activist urged the retail community to sign it in efforts to raise awareness of manipulative tactics that occur in the market every day.

“They’re predators. They’re doing something illegal, and we want it to stop”, says GNS CEO Roger Hamilton.

The Board of Directors of Genius Group Limited, a leading entrepreneur edtech and education group, approved at a meeting of the Board held on Wednesday 18th January 2023, an action plan to address illegal short selling of its stock.

AMC shareholders have criticized AMC CEO Adam Aron for not addressing the manipulation in AMC Entertainment stock.

This action plan includes creating a Board-led ‘Illegal Trading Task Force’ to actively pursue all possible actions together with the regulators in their discovery and prosecution of persons engaging in market manipulation involving the ordinary shares of Genius Group.

Waging war against naked shorts is something that won’t succeed so easily, but raising awareness is a sure way to start.

Related: $GNS, $MMTLP, Taking Regulators and Manipulation Head On

Are All AMC FTDs Caused by Naked Shorts?

SEC Chairman Gary Gensler has said in the past that FTDs aren’t always the result of naked shares — but that’s as much as he’s mentioned the term.

FTDs can also result in buyers not having the funds to cover costs during execution of a security, though for retail investors this is a very unlikely scenario.

The stock market has seen its fair share of manipulation throughout the decades.

Institutions can spoof the market with ‘naked shares’ to move the price without ever having to take accountability for any real asset.

They can also lend shares they don’t own as IOUs and never have to take accountability when it comes to delivering them but rather simply reporting them as failure-to-delivers.

So, there are certainly loopholes our regulators must take into account.

And as far as the retail community is concerned, our regulators know all too well what’s occurring in the market.

Putting pressure on these regulators could be the first steps towards creating real change in the near future.

Retail investors might just be the ones to make history this decade.

Related: The SEC Green-Lighted Naked Shorting of IPOs in 2015

Market News Published Daily

Market News Today - Is Amazon buying AMC Entertainment?
Market News Today – Is Amazon buying AMC Entertainment?

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AMC Stock Is Now Making Higher Lows This Year

AMC Stock higher lows higher highs
Market News: AMC stock is now making higher lows and higher highs in 2023.

AMC Entertainment (NYSE:AMC) stock is now making higher lows this year after shares fell in throughout 2022.

The movie theatre stock’s trendline has shifted during the first quarter of the new year as we begin to see share prices make higher lows and higher highs in 2023.

AMC is currently up more than +50% this year-to-date but was recently up as high as 110% towards the end of February.

On January, shares rose to $6.07 from $3.93 at the start of the year.

In early February share prices went up to $6.80, then to $8 towards the end of the month.

Shares have retested January’s levels around $6.07 at the start of March.

The macro trendline is now showing AMC Entertainment making higher lows and higher highs in 2023.

In technical analysis, this is seen as extremely bullish.

This is a trend we have not seen in AMC’s share price since 2021 when stocks surged to all-time highs.

One of the biggest roars in the retail community was during this specific timeline — when shares were establishing higher ground.

Will history repeat itself?

And will AMC Entertainment stock beat its all-time high record of $72 per share this year?

Let’s discuss it.

AMC Entertainment Trendline 2023

When looking at AMC’s year-to-date chart, we find that the stock has begun to make higher highs and higher lows in 2023.

We had a low of $3.85 in January, a low of $4.50 in February, and what seems to be a low of $6 in March so far.

AMC Trend Chart
AMC Trend Chart – Franknez.com.

These types of trends in the market may suggest big moves to come.

Not only has technical analysis shown us this in the past but we’ve witnessed it before in 2021 during the height of AMC’s popularity.

AMC’s trend today is a picture perfect snapshot of the months prior to the company’s massive price surge in June of 2021.

If retail investors are able to create enough buying momentum to raise share prices, short sellers may incur a margin call and be forced to close their short positions unless they can meet margin requirements.

And as we know, it’s become much harder to borrow the stock due to the wild fees — recently reaching more than 731%.

Short sellers have been able to keep the lid on AMC from surging again, but for how much longer?

Recent AMC Developments

AMC Latest News – Latest AMC Stock News.

AMC Entertainment said during its earnings report that it is not out of the woods yet, but the company has made progress towards paying its debt and has stayed afloat despite burning through its capital.

AMC Perfectly Popcorn will be sold in more than 2,000 Walmart stores across the country by April — a means to increase revenue.

The company also plans to issue a credit card for customers and capitalize on that business venture as well.

Adam Aron and board members were recently sued for the issuance of its equity APE, which listed in the market back in August of 2022.

The lawsuit is expected to extend or limit the voting rights of AMC’s new proposals to convert APE shares back into common shares of AMC stock, and for a 1-for-10 reverse stock split.

It is still uncertain how the market will react to these proposals.

A reverse stock split will mean the stock will cost more to buy, potentially limiting buy volume from current and new investors.

If AMC’s CTB continues to increase, it may also incentivize short sellers to get out of the play, unless they’re willing to wait for fees to decrease before beginning to short the stock back down.

Rest assured, you can all your updates on Franknez.com.

Will AMC Stock Continue to Make Higher Lows and Higher Highs?

AMC’s current trend remains bullish.

In the past, we’ve seen this trendline lead shares higher and higher despite attempts to bring it back down.

At some point, when pressure is released, it becomes harder to keep the stock from rising.

Is AMC getting ready to for a new all-time high?

I’d love to hear your thoughts on this.

Leave a comment down below.

Related: What is The Likelihood of AMC Squeezing Any Moment?

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Market News Today - Is Amazon buying AMC Entertainment?
Market News Today – Is Amazon buying AMC Entertainment?

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What is The Likelihood of AMC Squeezing Any Moment?

Likelihood of AMC Squeezing
AMC Short Squeeze News – AMC Short Squeeze Update – Franknez.com.

More and more bigger media is touching topic on the possibility of AMC squeezing.

Seems they’ve warmed up to the possibility of an AMC short squeeze happening.

But all they’re doing is reiterating facts I’ve written over the years across numerous articles.

Nonetheless, it’s great press for retail investors aiming to squeeze short sellers from the play.

Of course there’s a possibility of AMC squeezing, the facts and data are there.

But what is the likelihood of AMC squeezing at any moment?

This is what no one else is discussing.

Though the answer may not entirely surprise you.

Let’s discuss how close or far away AMC is from squeezing this year.

Will AMC Squeeze ‘Again’?

AMC rose from just over $2 to more than $72 per share in 2021 — short interest had also come down from 22% to 14% signaling short positions closing.

AMC Short Squeeze Chart - Franknez.com
AMC Short Squeeze Chart – Franknez.com | AMC short squeeze news today.

Did an AMC short squeeze already happen?

Yes, but it was the second one in 2021.

See, the first one happened in January around the same time GameStop had its short squeeze.

Shares of GameStop rose to nearly $500 per share.

At the same time, AMC shares rose from $2 per share to $22 per share before coming back down and more and more retail investors coming in.

It’s rather strange what happened next.

I published an article titled ‘Is It Too Late to Get into AMC Stock?‘ after noticing AMC’s short interest data was still very well alive; and those who missed the gamma to $20 began pouring in.

They missed GameStop’s squeeze too, so AMC became very attractive, especially at such a lower price point.

This article was seen by more than half a million people and it attracted a lot of buyers to the stock.

Four months after the publication, AMC Entertainment stock squeezed to $72 per share.

Although many investors are still holding their shares in 2023, many of my readers ended up capitalizing on the move back in June.

AMC Gain Porn

Several readers were up 6-figures at some point.

One even shared the Polestar they purchased from their profits.

AMC Gain Porn
Reader buys Polestar with AMC gains – Franknez.com.

AMC Gain Porn
Reader sees $720K in profit from AMC gains – Franknez.com.

AMC Gain Porn
Reader sees $150K in profits from AMC stock – Franknez.com.

You can view more of these on my Instagram stories under the ‘gains’ highlights.

Bigger media outlets can’t relate to this — we really changed people’s lives.

While media platforms were saying to stay away from AMC stock, I said the short interest data is telling us a story of what may potentially happen and msm is not talking about it.

You saw what happened.

And the truth is, an AMC can still short squeeze in 2023.

Today’s data is just as relevant and just as strong as it was in 2021 when AMC saw big gains.

The only difference today is that we’re in a bear market instead of a bull market, creating a challenge in regard to liquidity and investor sentiment.

What is The Likelihood of AMC Squeezing at Any Moment?

Market News: AMC short squeeze update.

AMC Entertainment stock is only one decision away from short squeezing.

And this decision will be made by short sellers.

All AMC needs to squeeze right now this very moment, or tomorrow, or next week, is for short sellers to begin closing their short positions.

If retail investors are able to create enough buying power to move the stock price up, like they did in 2021, then short sellers will be pressured heavily into closing these positions, initiating a short squeeze.

Since AMC’s cost to borrow the stock is so high in 2023, it’s getting harder and harder for short sellers to short the company.

This means retail investors have a bigger advantage now they didn’t have in 2021 when shares rose to $72 per share.

It’s retail investors who are the key to another short squeeze, always have been.

How high will an AMC short squeeze go?

In January of 2021, the stock surged to $20 and in June it surged to $72.

Where will it go in 2023?

You can read more about how big a short squeeze potential may go in a separate article here.

Share this article with the community and leave a comment down below.

Market News Published Daily

Market News Today - Is Amazon buying AMC Entertainment?
Market News Today – Is Amazon buying AMC Entertainment?

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Will AMC Stock Squeeze in 2023?

Will AMC Squeeze in 2023?
Stock Market News: Will AMC squeeze in 2023?

Will AMC squeeze again? In 2021, the movie theatre chain stock skyrocketed from $2.50 early that year to $72 per share in the summer.

Many retail investors held the stock even as the CEO cashed in more than $40 million.

The stock dropped more than -84% in 2022 leaving majority of holders with significant unrealized losses, and very few still in profit.

AMC Shareholders have continued to raise awareness of market injustices surrounding dark pools, naked shorting, and off exchange trading.

Since the events of the ‘meme stock’ frenzy in 2021, ‘We The Investors‘ has reached a historic milestone, representing the retail community in direct engagement with SEC Chairman, Gary Gensler.

Today, Ortex is reporting AMC’s short interest at a high of 22.10%.

This is nearly the short interest AMC had before the stock shot up from $14 to $72 per share.

The high short interest is a strong indicator AMC has the potential to squeeze again.

The question is, will AMC stock squeeze in 2023?

First, let’s dive into what triggered the event in 2021 to better understand whether today’s market conditions are in retail’s favor.

Related: How to Buy AMC Stock (2023 Guide)

What Caused AMC to Spike?

AMC Short Squeeze chart - Franknez.com.
AMC Short Squeeze chart – Franknez.com.

So, what caused AMC stock to go up?

In short, it was a high short interest percent and massive buying pressure.

#1. High Short Interest Percent

The short interest in a stock is the percentage of the float that is essentially being shorted.

When you have a lot of short sellers betting on the downside of a company’s stock, there’s a probability to squeeze them out of their positions if the price shoots up quickly.

Short sellers may see significant (unrealized) losses momentarily and choose to either close their positions for a loss or keep accumulating short positions if they think shares will come back down.

What happened with AMC is that when the stock first shot up from $2.50 to $20 per share, short sellers began to take big positions.

Therefore, we saw the short interest increase.

But once AMC’s share price began to rise to $9 per share, then $14 per share, and eventually break that resistance, short sellers began to close their positions to refrain from accruing larger losses.

This is when we slowly began to see AMC’s short interest decrease from 22% to 14%.

As AMC began to come down from its all-time high in June, AMC’s short interest began to rise again, signifying short sellers were getting back in.

Today, AMC’s short interest is at 22.10% according to both Fintel and Ortex.

This is big.

#2. Massive Buying Pressure

Massive buying pressure is what triggered AMC shares to rise.

See, this wasn’t just a one-time spike, but rather days of nonstop bullish momentum.

AMC Entertainment stock was experiencing extremely high intraday volume of 700 million and 900 million prior to hitting its all-time high.

Previous months still consisted of several hundreds of millions in trading volume.

Discords were flooded with anxious and excited investors as they saw shares rise over and over again.

The battle of $8.01 was known as a victorious day for retail investors who were buying the dip every time the market would bring the price down.

Days such as the battle of $8.01 influenced what was to come next.

Absolute Armageddon for hedge funds betting against AMC Entertainment and an emerging retail community Wall Street never saw coming.

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Market Conditions for A Short Squeeze

AMC Short Squeeze 2023.

The market conditions were completely different when AMC surged to $72 per share than what they are now.

In 2022, we entered a bear market that brought the entire market to its knees.

Experts are saying we may experience continued volatility in the market as signs of an upcoming recession rise in 2023.

Also read: Where Is the Stock Market Headed in 2023?

However, stocks such as AMTD Digital, Inc. proved that market conditions don’t have to be set in a bull market to squeeze.

HKD stock surged more than +20,000% in August of 2022.

Shares rose from $13.54 to $2,200 in weeks from sheer buying pressure, fresh from its IPO.

The truth is a short squeeze may be triggered both during a bull market and bear market.

One key element we’re discovering that triggers a short squeeze is heavy buying volume.

Heavy buying volume is what allowed GameStop to squeeze to $483, HKD to $2,200, and AMC to $72 per share.

*Poll of The Week

Related: 5 Big Signs Pointing to an AMC Short Squeeze

Will AMC Squeeze in 2023?

will AMC squeeze in 2023.
Will AMC squeeze in 2023? AMC stock news and updates.

AMC Entertainment has both the high short interest and retail community behind it to trigger another short squeeze in 2023.

However, recession conditions might cap the ability for retail investors to buy in heavy again this year.

Layoffs, rising interest rates and inflation could slow down how much liquidity is being pumped into the stock market.

This makes triggering an AMC short squeeze in 2023 more challenging than if the U.S was currently a thriving economy.

Also read: How to Get Your Money Right in 2023

Shareholders should not be discouraged; anything can happen this year.

For more AMC stock news and updates, join the newsletter to receive weekly market news and notifications straight to your inbox.

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Franknez.com

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How Big Could an AMC Short Squeeze Potential Surge?

AMC Short Squeeze Potential
Stock Market News: Just how high can AMC short squeeze spike up to?

An AMC short squeeze potential has been a huge debate for retail investors and shareholders amongst the Reddit and social media communities.

Exactly how high an AMC short squeeze could possibly go up to has plagued AMC shareholders since the very first publication of the short interest data (archived data).

AMC Entertainment stock was trading around $14 when I began to share the short interest data after shooting up to $22 per share during its first big push from $2.50.

The stock fell back down to $5 per share but the short interest told a story, which is why I continued to share it, because retail investors had a shot at something big here.

Four months after my publications, AMC reached its all-time high of $72 per share.

I knew investors that were up thousands of dollars, and others that were up hundreds of thousands of dollars.

Another community member posted his brand-new Polestar.

You can actually go and see their comments on my Instagram highlights under ‘Gains‘.

But what’s more interesting is that AMC never shot up to its potential, did it?

In this article, I’m going to go over AMC short squeeze price predictions along with some TA on key levels the movie theatre chain stock will have to break in order to truly reach its potential.

Let’s get started.

AMC Stock Price Today

AMC Stock Today

Today, AMC stock is trading around $5 per share, respectively.

Shares rose to $8 in December before rejecting and coming back down to roughly $6 and eventually to current share price levels.

2022’s bear market dragged many companies down, and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. was no exception.

And with talks of a recession creeping in this year, it’s difficult to determine whether prices will stagnate or bounce back soon.

While a short squeeze does not discriminate whether we’re in a bear market or bull market, it’s heavy buying pressure that will ultimately trigger it.

And while AMC’s trading volume hasn’t been anywhere near 2021’s levels, it doesn’t mean it can’t be later this year.

Related: 5 Big Signs Pointing to An AMC Short Squeeze

How High is An AMC Short Squeeze Predicted to Go?

amc short squeeze price prediction

There are many AMC short squeeze price predictions from the retail community.

One of the biggest price predictions being $1,000.

In the past year, some would have laughed at you for your lesser capability to see beyond.

More ambitious short squeeze predictions say AMC can reach upwards of $10,000 per share!

Then of course, you have the strong big D energy ‘apes’ that say an AMC MOASS (mother of all short squeezes) will yield $100,000-$500,000 per share.

All fascinating without a doubt.

You might ask, what in the world led retail investors to believe such impossible numbers could be possible to begin with?

The truth is, while hypothetical, these numbers (technically speaking) may be possible.

See, what happened was that wrinkled brain apes from the Reddit community began to experiment with a series of predictions based on the number of naked shares circulating outside the original (and legal) float.

Redditors began to create brackets of equations to identify what (potential) share prices could look like if hedge funds (hypothetically) closed billions upon billions of ‘synthetic shares’.

What did we find?

Denial. Over and over again.

Mainstream media and Wall Street bullied the retail community into a corner and said naked shorting no longer existed.

Retail investors were called conspiracy theorists.

Naked shorting later proved to be the highest probable outcome for an incredible amount of FTDs (fails-to-deliver) in AMC.

CNBC’s Melissa Lee and FOX Business’s Charles Payne eventually began to touch topic on the matter after Trey’s Trades addressed retail’s concerns on interviews.

Naked shorting was now officially being discussed on live television.

Related: Latest Report Shows AMC FTDs Spiked to $31 Million

But Wall Street kept pressing, denying the existence of dark pools, exchanges used to essentially suppress the price of security or to refrain from the full demand of a stock to reflect its actual share price.

In February of 2022, SEC Chairman Gary Gensler said in an exclusive Bloomberg interview that 90%-95% of retail orders are not processed through the lit exchange but rather through dark pools.

In an interview later in December, the Chairman told ‘We The Investors‘ that he understands retail’s frustrations.

The SEC Chairman was asked if dark pools suppressed the price of stock and whether retail investors could influence the price of a stock if majority of orders traded in the lit exchange.

While there was no direct answer to the suppression of price, the Chairman says that with so much trading happening off-exchange, he doesn’t think it’s a leveled playing field as dark pools give institutions an unfair advantage.

So far, there has been no ‘official confirmation‘ of ‘synthetic shares’ to back up the highest AMC short squeeze predictions.

There’s only been denial.

What’s an AMC Short Squeeze Potential Factoring Out Synthetics?

AMC all-time high price

I’ve shared this equation in the past and the prediction is not accounting for synthetics.

When AMC surged to $72 per share, its short interest had dropped from 22% to 14%, an 8% difference.

Now, while there is no sure way to identify how large positions are per percentage drops, we can gain a little more clarity by analyzing these proven numbers.

Is it probable that if AMC’s short interest had dropped another 8% from 14% down to 6%, the stock would have surged twice its all-time high of $72 per share to $144 per share?

Sure – although not 100% certain, we can begin to see a clearer picture here.

Could we then predict an AMC short squeeze potential to peak between $100-$200 as a rough estimate?

Absolutely.

At these numbers, every shareholder (even late buyers) will be in profit.

Having reached $72 per share, it’s fair to say $100-$200 per share is a fair short squeeze potential when you exclude the existence of synthetics.

Some may agree, others will certainly differ.

But if there’s a hard lesson I’ve learned as an options trader, it’s been to never get too greedy when you’re already in profit.

Are Shareholders Still Holding AMC?

There’s been some controversy recently within the community surrounding the CEO.

There are shareholders who criticize Adam Aron for cashing in more than $40 million between late 2021 and early 2022 while shareholders held in order to prevent shares from sliding.

Others are happy to hear the CEO has no interest in selling shares any time soon and has rejected a pay raise for the new year.

Despite the controversy, majority of shareholders continue to hold their stock.

So far, more than 90% of shareholders say they continue to hold their AMC shares in 2023.

I will update the numbers as more investors continue to participate.

Still, some argue that those who voted ‘no’ may have never been shareholders in the first place.

Nasdaq reports that AMC’s Preferred Equity (APE) has only 0.18% institutional ownership.

This means retail investors are the sole owners of AMC’s equity too.

So, the sentiment lines up.

Related: How to Buy AMC Stock (2023 Guide)

What is Your Top AMC Stock Price Prediction?

Your AMC price prediction might differ from someone else’s in the retail community.

Leave a comment down below what an AMC short squeeze potential looks like to you.

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