Tag: MOASS (Page 2 of 3)

AMC Surges More Than 15% Entering the New Week

AMC Surges more than 15%
A deep dive into AMC stock’s market performance

Today AMC surged more than 15% closing at $18.26 per share.

The movie theatre chain stock closed at $15.86 per share on Monday.

Retail volume fueled today’s price action which also surged compared to its average volume of 44 million.

Let’s go over AMC’s market stats, short interest, and weekly prediction below.

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AMC sees surge in retail volume

AMC stock market stats
AMC stock market stats

Today AMC Entertainment Holdings saw a surge in retail trading volume.

The stock’s average trading volume is 44 million but rose to 75 million today.

Is AMC getting ready to begin a new bull run?

Today marks the third day in a row AMC surges from its previous market downtrend.

The movie theatre chain is up more than 25% in the past 5 trading days and 71% in the past year.

Mainstream media has been misleading investors not to expect and ‘encore’, but it seems we’re about to get a full show again.

Last year AMC reached an all-time high of $72 per share when retail began to buy the stock en masse.

AMC only had a short interest of 20% when it surged.

Today AMC’s short interest is at 21% with utilization at 100.

‘Apes’ understand this is a very important figure.

Let’s break it down together.

AMC’s high short interest is a guarantee the stock will continue to soar

AMC short interest
Bookmark the short interest updated daily

I published an article this past weekend breaking down the data that shows AMC is on trajectory for another massive price runup.

You can read the data here.

AMC’s chart patterns are showing a ‘squeeze’ type runup is forming.

We know this by analyzing the short interest percentage, utilization rate, cost to borrow, days to cover, and previous runup patterns.

The AMC surges we’ve seen in the past few days proves corporate media is merely fueling a narrative that benefits its owners, who in most part are short selling AMC and GameStop.

Early investors are profitable again, but they are not leaving.

‘Bag holders’ did not hold the bag for months to break even.

The data has always been there, and it says AMC will soar into the hundreds of dollars per share as small short sellers begin to close.

This doesn’t take into account the number of positions that have to be closed by overleveraged hedge funds.

There’s no doubt those who got in late will too be profitable as AMC surges past triple digit numbers.

AMC surges after hours

A typical sign of more bullish path is rising after hours price.

While this price should be taken with a grain of salt, it’s been a bullish indicator, nonetheless.

AMC saw a 1.33% increase after hours last Friday.

Similarly, AMC saw many of these after hour increases prior to its runup to $72 per share last year.

While the small price influx isn’t a ‘make it or break it’, it certainly builds investor confidence.

AMC outlook looks positive

The available data, earnings, and community sentiment is extremely positive for AMC Entertainment.

Most AMC shareholders say they will invest back into the company after they squeeze shorts from their positions.

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AMC Entertainment as a company is doing very well in terms of fundamentals.

If you don’t know how much the company has grown over the past two years you have to read their Q4 highlights here.

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SR 21-19: The Fed Is About to Impose Massive Margin Calls

SR 21-19 Margin Calls
SR 21-19 Margin Call Requirements

The Fed’s just published a letter under SR 21-19 to supervise and assess the actions that led to the Archegos default by examining financial institutions and their relationships to investment funds.

The Federal Reserve is issuing this guidance to limit risk management.

SR 21-19 is intended for banking organizations with large portfolios and relationships with investment funds, such as hedge funds.

Some of you in the community wanted me to explain what this letter means and so I’m going to be breaking it down for you today.

franknez.com

Welcome to Franknez.com – today’s market news has to do with the Fed’s cracking down on banks and hedge funds. Interesting things are happening at the end of the year, aren’t they?

Let’s get started!

Speaking of interesting things happening.

The ape community has attracted the attention of the SEC, mainstream media, and now the Federal Reserve.

It’s worth noting that progress is progress, no matter how slow or long it takes.

Why is SR 21-19 Significant?

SR 21-19 Margin Calls

This federal piece of document is significant for many reasons.

  1. It highlights lack of transparency in the markets.
  2. The letter acknowledges a relationship amongst financial entities and confirms strategic involvement.
  3. It expresses how overleveraging positions pose a major risk towards meeting debt obligations.
  4. And finally, SR 21-19 touches topic on providing proper margin terms to these institutions.

Reserve banks are being asked to distribute this letter to the supervised organizations in their districts and to appropriate supervisory staff.

The board is continuing to review firms’ weaknesses to take further action.

The Feds are looking for a solution that will mitigate risk and prevent hedge funds from defaulting, as seen with Archegos.

Archegos defaulted on March 26, 2021, causing over $10 billion in losses across several large banks.

We saw Citadel has lose billions of dollars shorting AMC stock before ultimately making their money back.

The hedge fund also began freezing any attempts for its clients to pull their investments out by issuing ultimatums that would make it impossible for the customer to return.

And on top of that, they issued a hefty fee for withdrawing their investments.

New Margin Call Terms Are on The Horizon

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It is unclear what the margin call terms will be for these overleveraged financial institutions.

However, the letter states that they will be ensuring that these institutions receive the appropriate margin requirements.

They will either avoid inflexible and risk-insensitive margin terms or extend close-out periods.

Risk-insensitive meaning appropriately raising the margin requirements dependent upon how overleveraged a financial institution is.

Hedge funds shorting AMC and GME stock have amounted an overwhelming number of borrowed shares to short the stocks.

Yet these stocks have remained leveled due to the strength of retail investors.

The feds are about to impose massive margin requirements on overleveraged hedge funds.

Now, we won’t know how long this process will take.

What we do know is that the federal government isn’t taking hedge funds lightly anymore.

And if the appropriate margin terms are too high for hedge funds to maintain, then they’ll be forced to close short positions.

Getting To the Bottom of Synthetic Shares

AMC Synthetic Shares

Will the feds come across the millions of synthetic shares these overleveraged hedge funds have created?

It will be a massive surprise if they don’t.

See, the feds are requiring their supervisors to receive adequate information to fully understand the risks of the investment funds they are investigating.

This includes positions and counterparty concentrations, or a specific sector in which two financial entities are specifically focused on.

Failing to meet transparency will mean the feds will take action on setting conservative terms between the parties.

Identifying synthetic shares in the market is a rabbit hole the feds themselves will have to go down.

My suggestion is for the community to push the Department of Justice to investigate these synthetics.

Raising awareness to these problems in the market is key to sparking a MOASS.

Interesting Year for Hedge Funds

ken griffin meme

Hedge funds face more scrutiny than ever before in history.

They have created system risk and pose a threat to our businesses and economy.

Hedge funds never saw a community of activists fight them for a fair market.

Retail investors caused Archegos to default and Melvin Capital to lose billions of dollars resulting in a life-line from Citadel Securities.

Melvin Capital has stated that they’re out of the game.

However, financial institutions such as Citadel Securities and Bank of America Corp continue to short AMC stock.

With the feds now involved, this is going to be an interesting year for both hedge funds and retail investors.

Leave Your Thoughts Below

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What do you think of the SR 21-19 letter?

Could this federal document be the first step towards the uncovering of synthetics in the market?

Are we closer to margin calls than ever before?

Leave your thoughts below.

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Will Evergrande’s Default Cause AMC To MOASS?

Will Evergrande default cause AMC MOASS
AMC MOASS

BREAKING: Evergrande is on the brink of default. Several key procedures are aligning in regards to an AMC MOASS.

If Evergrande defaults, it could lead to a massive global stock market meltdown.

And with AMC’s new increased negative beta, AMC has the perfect setup for a massive rebound.

BlackRock and the Swiss National Bank just bulked up on their AMC holdings.

Adam Aron is scheduled to incrementally sell some stock?

Apes, this is massive news.

If you sold your AMC stock recently you’re going to wish you had held on.

franknez.com

Welcome to Franknez.com – today’s news is a collection of events that point towards the highly anticipated AMC MOASS event.

Let’s get started!

Evergrande Is On The Brink of Default

Evergrande Default News

According to a press release, Evergrande has defaulted via. AP News.

However, the company has not defaulted any of its offshore debt obligations, according to Daily Sabah.

Although, it is worth mentioning that the DMSA is preparing bankruptcy proceedings against Evergrande and calls on all bond investors to join it.

Blockworks has also confirmed bankruptcy proceedings have begun taking place.

The New York Times confirms Evergrande has defaulted as of 12/9.

The last time news on Evergrande’s debt crisis made it headlines, the stock markets bled heavy.

The U.S Federal Reserve warned Tuesday that China’s property sector could pose global risk.

Evergrande owes millions to U.S financial institutions and investors.

With institutions facing massive losses, liquidity issues begin to arise resulting in stock market chaos.

Evergrande’s default news is a developing story that only get’s worse and worse for the company.

Be sure to subscribe to the blog for updates.

AMC’s Negative Beta Surges To -9.80

A beta less than 0 indicates a reverse relation to the market and is an extreme occurrence according to Investopedia.

Why is this important?

Because when the majority of stocks go down, AMC will have the opposite effect contrary to the rest of the market.

Well, AMC just received an updated negative beta score of -9.80, source.

AMC negative beta Franknez

The company had a negative beta score of close to -4 earlier this past summer.

In general, negative beta stocks tend to do better when the stock market declines.

Any stock market crash that occurs, say one caused by an Evergrande default, could launch a negative beta stock’s share price such as AMC’s opposite of the market.

In simpler terms, a stock market crash would skyrocket a negative beta stock.

Although negative beta stocks have more risk, the rewards are also significantly higher.

Financial Institutions Buy Massive Amounts of AMC Shares

As AMC’s negative beta continues to get further from 0, we have large financial institutions such as BlackRock and the Swiss National Bank loading up on AMC shares.

In a time where the probability of a stock market crash is increasing by the day, these two massive financial institutions are buying this negative beta stock.

In a recent 13F filing, BlackRock increased their position by 31.28% bringing their AMC shares to a total of 40 million shares.

BlackRock increases AMC Shares
BlackRock increases AMC Shares, source

Notably, the Teacher Retirement System of Texas also increased their position by 73%.

In another 13F filing, we see that the Swiss National Bank increased their AMC positions by a whopping 138.16%.

They now hold close to 2 million AMC shares as of this month, November.

swiss national bank buys amc shares
Swiss National Bank buys AMC Shares, source

You can find the massive list of other financial institutions buying AMC stock here.

It’s No Coincidence Institutions Are Buying AMC Stock

The last time we saw heavy institutional buying was before June’s big runup to $72 per share.

The fact that Evergrande poses a risk to global markets means buying a negative beta stock such as AMC could be a way for financial institutions to hedge against any major losses.

On the flip side, it could be a way for financial institutions to cash in massive gains from an AMC MOASS play.

I presume financial institutions will be taking profits on the way up and on the way down.

Which leads to the final point.

Is Adam Aron Selling AMC Stock?

is Adam Aron selling amc stock
Adam Aron

Adam Aron announced mid this year that he would be selling stock later this year under a program filed through the SEC.

These incremental and automatic transactions will occur in the months to come.

His first automatic transaction occurred on Tuesday, where the CEO is using these profits to diversify his assets and offset capital gains taxes.

The silverback has a plan to begin distributing profits in other wealth building assets in the months to come.

In a time where AMC’s share price can drastically change at any moment, it’s easy to see why this executive would set an automatic “cash-in” system.

If there’s anything we can gain from Adam’s actions, it’s that he sees major profit opportunities in the short-term future.

Will The AMC MOASS Finally Happen?

mother of all short squeezes

Our financial system faces systemic risk and AMC’s rare negative beta score is a ticking time-bomb for an explosive upswing.

Financial institutions are buying AMC stock like citizens were emptying grocery stores during the pandemic lockdowns.

And now we see Adam Aron share his plan to take profits in the months to come.

An AMC MOASS could be underway.

I’m willing to hold this stock to see this incredible event play through.

Are you?

Leave me a comment below.

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Read: How high can AMC stock price skyrocket up to?


What Will Trigger AMC To Short Squeeze?

what will trigger amc to squeeze

A lot of new retail investors have bought AMC stock and are wondering what will trigger AMC to short squeeze.

What started from small data between a subcommunity turned into a mainstream phenomenon.

And along the way, the community managed to resurrect a century old movie theater chain.

Yet, mainstream media will tell you poor fundamentals are the reason why we should bankrupt the theater chain instead.

But we love the movies and we especially love the stock.

A short squeeze play doesn’t depend on a companies fundamentals, but rather on how much stock is being borrowed to short it.

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Welcome to Franknez.com – the blog that fights against FUD and gives our community a media platform.

Let’s get started!

Chemtrail Of News

AMC News

There’s been a chemtrail of AMC news all year that have been part of this incredible journey.

From the community fighting regulators for a fair market, to leaked transcripts between Citadel and Robinhood during the January halts.

All this documentation will serve its purpose for a greater change.

But what will ultimately trigger AMC to squeeze?

Is there a specific catalyst that will cause the share price to skyrocket past the moon?

Or is everything tied to the tiresome battles against nefarious hedge fund tactics?

What Pushed AMC To $20 Per Share In January?

amc january

I missed the momentum that lead AMC to reach $20 per share back in late January.

But let me tell you, I sure didn’t miss the runup to $70.

And to be quite frank with you, I won’t miss the one going past $100 per share either.

So, what allowed AMC to experience these drastic upswings anyway?

Most people heard AMC was going to go up and they bought the stock. Before they knew it, it kept surging!

The stock has set a new bottom since it’s runup to $70, and is now cruising around $40 per share.

What will trigger AMC’s next runup?

It’s volume.

Volume propelled AMC to $20 per share, it propelled it to $70 per share, and volume is what’s going to propel AMC to $100 and beyond.

The sentiment is all in the volume.

Volume tells us how many retail investors are excited and frantic about a specific security.

If the volume goes down, expect a security to consolidate.

“We’re Going To Hold Until Shorts Cover”

If only it worked that way. You see, new short sellers can enter AMC at $40 per share and profit $5-$10 as the stock hits $30-$35 again.

The community is the only reason why AMC has a strong resistance.

We keep holding.

But it’s going to take a lot more than just holding the stock.

What drove AMC to $20 the first time, and $70 the second was not simply holding, but buying the stock too.

I’ve taken notice that the community has grown tired of ‘hodling till MOASS’.

There is no free ride here.

You don’t just buy one share of AMC stock and expect it to hit $100,000 because someone said it was hitting $100,000.

You cannot participate in a momentum play, and not put in momentum.

The retail investors that participated in the runup to $20 and $70 all put in momentum.

Holding without applying buying pressure is going to result in exhausting your conviction towards this short squeeze play.

You’re The Catalyst, Stop Looking

AMC Catalyst

“It’s their fault”, “this has to happen” – we need to stop trying to cut corners.

I’ve been guilty of this myself.

But it all comes back down to, what triggered AMC to move up?

Action did. Massive action caused massive change in AMC’s share price.

With enough pressure, retail investors will be able to surge AMC’s share price high enough to create short seller panic.

Thus, initiating shorts to cover their positions in AMC and further driving up the share price.

As more of them close their positions, retail investors would have triggered AMC to squeeze.

Not the SEC, not a regulation, but retail investors.

A lot of you continue to buy the stock. A short squeeze will require more than just a lot of us though, it’s going to require buying en masse.

Give More Than You Take

We cannot blatantly sit around and wait for others to take us where we want to go.

You need to be accountable for your own actions and your own wants and desires.

I get asked quite frequently, “when’s the next runup”, “when’s the next runup?”

My question to you is when did you last buy AMC stock?

Those of you on my Patreon have a history of my personal AMC transactions throughout the year.

I’ve been buying the stock since February, even when I was facing $9,000 in losses. Now I’m up because I took action.

And if you’re profitable too it’s because you took action even when you were down.

So what’s the pattern here? Why are people profitable? Because they took action and didn’t depend on anyone to come save them.

What will trigger AMC to squeeze? You will.

Is this financial advice? Hell no. It’s real talk.

AMC’s Volume Shows Community Sentiment

AMC’s volume has been below it’s average volume. The average volume has been plunging since both runups this year.

The volume tells a story, and this current volume shows moping.

Some may argue volume doesn’t matter because of dark pool trading or because of unlimited supply of lendable shares to short the stock.

However, the volume history during the previous runups has said otherwise.

Volume matters.

How Long Will It Take Until AMC Squeezes?

In short, as long as it takes for momentum and buying pressure to occur again.

Retail investors have the chance to trigger a short squeeze through momentum and serious buying pressure.

AMC Volume Trigger

We can tell from looking at past volume patterns how important volume played a role in AMC’s previous upswing.

This momentum may be instant and short term and may happen at any moment.

Otherwise, some sort of FOMO catalyst may drive that momentum back in several months from now.

How long it takes for AMC to squeeze will depend on retail sentiment and drive.

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