Tag: MOASS (Page 1 of 3)

AMC Stock: Strategist Says Mother of All Short Squeezes is Here

Strategist Says Mother of All Short Squeezes is Here
Market News: Strategist says Mother of All Short Squeezes is Here.

Interactive Brokers Chief Strategist Steve Sosnick says there’s big demand to short AMC Entertainment (NYSE:AMC) stock.

He says the biggest reason aside from the company’s fundamentals is its new merge with its equity (NYSE:APE).

“It’s very hard to keep the momentum in these things because economic reality does take hold.

Bed Bath & Beyond, at one point was the best performing stock on the board until reality set in and they began defaulting, averted bankruptcy, but using a deal that is so dilutive that it’s unavoidable.”

Sosnick says AMC is in a very special situation because of the proposal to merge APE with AMC common shares.

“Right now we’re seeing such a demand to short AMC partly because of its difficulties but partly because of the special situation.

This really is what they were looking for in some ways as the mother of all short squeezes.

The borrow rate, it costs you 700% to borrow the shares overnight — if you can find them,” said the Interactive Brokers Chief Strategist on Yahoo Finance.

Is AMC Entertainment stock about to squeeze this year?

Here are 5 big signs that point to a mother of all short squeezes.

#1. AMC’s Short Interest is Really High

AMC Stock: Mother of all short squeezes
AMC Stock: Mother of all short squeezes

A short squeeze requires a company to be heavily shorted, which AMC is.

AMC has a high short interest of 25%.

Did you know that before AMC’s share price surged from $14 per share to its all-time high of $72 per share it only had a short interest of 22%?

AMC’s short interest dropped from 22% to 14% as short sellers began to close their positions.

Well, I’m sorry to break it to skeptics, but AMC’s high short interest means there are shorts to squeeze.

I’d love to hear the rebuttal on this one; I don’t get the counterargument.

#2. There Are Millions of Shares on Loan

This ties back to AMC’s short interest data.

There are currently 197.10 million shares on loan, per Ortex.

These are shares that have been borrowed and not yet returned to the lender.

Hedge funds borrow these shares to short AMC stock.

At some point, these shares eventually have to be returned whether short sellers simply return them without necessarily selling them in the market, or through a ‘buy-back’ when closing their short positions.

Small spikes in AMC’s share price in correspondence with a drop in short interest suggests some short closing.

We’ve seen this on very high-volume trading days.

Now imagine all of these shares getting returned to the lender from shorts closing positions.

That’s a lot of buying power getting injected into the stock, forcing shares to spike.

Also known as a short squeeze.

#3. The Cost to Borrow AMC is Higher Than Ever

The cost to borrow is the annual fee hedge funds are paying to borrow shares to short the company stock.

AMC’s current CTB is a whopping 260%.

Hedge funds are currently paying more than $30 million monthly in fees alone.

This lucrative fee alone could incentivize short sellers to ditch this play and close their positions.

#4. AMC Entertainment Has the Community to Trigger Big Buying Pressure

AMC stock: mother of all short squeezes
AMC Stock: Mother of all short squeezes.

This is one of the biggest catalysts for an AMC short squeeze.

Why?

Because volume is what drove share prices up during the Wall Street Bets movement in GameStop, AMC, and other heavily shorted stocks at the time.

DFV knew that buying pressure is what would trigger spikes in GameStop, causing short sellers to run for the hills.

AMC shareholders replicated it in 2021, sending shares from $6 per share to $72 per share by literally buying every dip.

Yeah, it was wild -but it worked.

And shareholders haven’t left, they are still holding in 2023.

#5. The Company Isn’t Going Bankrupt

Market News: Strategist says Mother of All Short Squeezes is Here (MOASS).
Market News: Strategist says Mother of All Short Squeezes is Here (MOASS).

The short thesis made sense during the height of the pandemic when movie theatres were forced to close their doors to the public.

CEO Adam Aron said AMC Entertainment went from one day making millions per day to income suddenly halting due to the lockdowns.

But AMC Entertainment is no longer going bankrupt.

The company has improved and restructured its debt every quarter since 2021 and has beat earnings expectations ever since.

While the company does carry debt, Adam Aron has proved to be a master at raising cash from thin air.

Some of his efforts have included branded merchandise, the introduction of its equity APE, and through partnerships in the entertainment industry which Disney and Netflix.

The company is expected to launch a new credit card this year and put AMC branded popcorn in retail stores.

You can read more about AMC’s development’s here.

An AMC short squeeze isn’t as far-fetched as some might think

As you can see, there are no conspiracy theories or “what if’s”.

I’ve been documenting AMC’s short squeeze since 2021, shortly after shares rose to $22 per share and came back down in late January.

I witnessed months of momentum build until shares jumped to $72 per share.

And yes, it can be replicated.

Related: Will AMC Stock Squeeze in 2023?

Latest Naked Shorting News

Credit Suisse (NYSE:CS) clients have withdrawn billions of dollars.

In November, the bank warned investors in a 6-K filing of potential losses due to naked short covering.

Disarming these types of overleveraged positions won’t be easy.

Credit Suisse took a massive hit of $4.09 billion in Q3 and hinted at occurring losses in an upturn in markets.

Now Credit Suisse as postponed publication of its annual report, per Reuters — more on that below.

The bank hired 20 banks for a $4 billion injection in effort to pivot from Q3’s disaster.

Is Credit Suisse on the verge of collapsing?

You can read more here.

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Market News: Strategist says Mother of All Short Squeezes is Here (MOASS).
Market News: Strategist says Mother of All Short Squeezes is Here (MOASS).

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Was AMC’s MOASS Just Confirmed?

Market News: AMC MOASS confirmed by cryptic tweets?
Market News: AMC MOASS confirmed by cryptic tweets?

Community members have been keeping a close eye on announcements, with many speculating AMC’s MOASS was just confirmed.

MOASS stands for mother of all short squeezes.

This is the big short squeeze retail investors have been patiently waiting for all 2021 and this year.

While the surge to $72 per share might have been significant, only a small percentage of short sellers closed their positions during this time period.

And while the information and dates detailed in this article might seem too coincidental, community members must always take such information with a grain of salt.

Let’s get started!

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AMC Theatres cryptic tweet

Some of you might be familiar with Adam Aron’s ‘pounce’ tweet where he mentions a pounce will not occur before Q2 earnings call is announced on Thursday, August 4th.

In that tweet, he says to read between the lines.

But that’s not all, because more than week after the CEO’s announcement, AMC Theatres published an interesting tweet about the upcoming Brad Pitt film, Bullet Train.

“Epic fights, a bunch of assassins and #BradPitt all squeezed into a speeding train is the only commute I’ll happily endure. On August 5 take the trip to see #BulletTrainMovie…”

The date mentioned in the tweet is one day after AMC’s Q2 earnings report will be announced.

The ‘ape’ community was quick to read between the lines and call the cryptic message an AMC MOASS confirmation.

Films have been breaking record after record all year long.

With positive Q2 announcements plus another hit title, it’s very possible we see AMC’s share price soar, initiating short sellers to ditch the play and close their positions.

At least that’s what the hopes are for AMC shareholders.

Is a short squeeze guaranteed after the Q2 earnings report?

Absolutely not.

But is the possibility of big price action highly probable?

Given that the company has restructured its debt and has been dominating the industry all year, it seems very likely shareholders will see a rise in share price.

Will Wall Street lose again?

Retail investors humiliated Wall Street last year when both novice and experienced investors managed to beat financial institutions at their own game.

Hedge funds such as Citadel lost billions betting against retail.

Popular trading platform Robinhood nearly destroyed its reputation when it restricted retail from purchasing ‘meme stocks’ last year.

On the other hand, we have Gabe Plotkin’s Melvin Capital, who shut down this year after failing to recover from damages after shorting GameStop.

Analysts predicted the demise of AMC, giving it a $1 and $0.01 price target, only to get ridiculed by millions of investors after the company’s share price surged to $72 per share.

Today, AMC’s share price continues to beat every analyst’s price prediction.

What will happen if Wall Street is forced to eat crow again, as Adam Aron puts it?

Retail investors have evolved, and Wall Street is taking notice.

They are not happy about it.

For over a year now corporate media has attacked retail investors in the AMC and GME community, catering to unprofessionalism and giving big networks a bad name.

Desperate attempts to mislead shareholders into selling both company’s stocks has also been an ongoing failure for Wall Street.

Retail’s message is loud and clear, they’re not going anywhere.

FOX: “Only 6% of retail have sold stocks”

Fox Retail investors holding and buying
FOX: Retail investors buying and holding, per ETORO survey

According to a survey conducted by ETORO, only a very small percentage of retail investors have sold stocks during today’s bear market.

FOX published the results.

65% of retail investors are currently holding their positions, 29% continue to buy stocks despite the market conditions, and only 6% of retail have sold stocks.

The large market selloffs we’re seeing today are primarily caused by hedge funds, according to Bank of America.

Retail investors aren’t budging, no matter how bad Jim Cramer wants retail investors to exit the stock market.

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Are Institutions Preparing to Close Short Positions in AMC?

how soon will institutions close short positions in AMC stock?
How soon will institutions close short positions in AMC stock?

Retail investors have been waiting for big institutions to close their short positions in AMC for over a year now.

Many short positions in AMC Entertainment stock still remained open after January’s and May’s runup last year.

This year’s bear market has dropped stock prices back to all-time lows.

Will this provide institutions with incentive to close short positions in AMC now?

Let’s discuss it below.

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Welcome to Franknez.com – if you haven’t joined the newsletter, be sure to do that below. I’m publishing market news and updates daily.

Let’s dive right into it!

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AMC drops to all-time lows again

Are institutions preparing to close short positions in AMC stock?
Are institutions preparing to close short positions in AMC stock?

The entire market is on a free-fall.

AMC Entertainment stock managed to fall below $13 on Monday despite heavy buying volume.

The off-exchange trading for AMC is currently around 62.26% according to Fintel, and shorts have borrowed an additional 1M shares to short the stock according to Stonk-O-Tracker.

These predatorial strategies have retail investors pinned and losing money on their investment.

The economy’s health isn’t helping much either, but further fueling the market’s stress.

Interest rates are rising, inflation is at an all-time high, and the U.S is battling several issues outside the country with Russia and Ukraine, and at home.

Today’s economy has the entire market beat.

And AMC Entertainment is no exception the free-fall despite the company’s continuous progress.

AMC has become a trading ground

Traders and institutions are trading AMC at all times.

At some point, positions will have to get closed.

DTCC B16845-22 raised margin requirements by 25% for stock trading above $10 per share.

If AMC stock drops below $10 per share, then margin requirements will be raised to 30%.

This is rather significant because it requires institutions shorting AMC stock to carry more collateral.

Unfortunately for the rest of the market, institutions will continue to create massive selloffs just to keep up with these margin requirements.

But it gets worse for them because the lower AMC drops, the more collateral will be required of them.

Financial institutions are being stretched beyond their means and it’s not going to end well for them.

We’ve already seen hedge funds fall – and we can expect this trend to continue.

Related: Hedge Fund Melvin Capital is Shutting Down in June

Could institutions be preparing to close short positions?

Institutions will eventually begin to hedge on the upside (long).

For this to happen, they will need to identify the market’s bottom.

Economists believe there is still quite aways to go before the market begins bottoming out.

Others such as Forbes believes the stock market is finishing this crater of a selloff.

With this in mind, institutions always strategize when it comes to market conditions.

It is very possible AMC short sellers could begin to close their positions as the markets begin to bottom out.

When this will occur is unknown.

No one has been able to perfectly time the market; however, there are always signals in the market that allow investors to foresee specific trends.

A reversal is imminent

Despite where the bottom lies, investors holding AMC stock should know that a reversal is imminent.

A reversal is a change in the price of an asset which can occur to the upside or downside – depending on a securities’ current trendline.

For AMC, a reversal would push the stock up.

Not only is a reversal imminent for AMC stock, but for the entire market as well.

Stocks can’t keep going down forever, at some point they must go up again.

I have a feeling this is going to be one of the biggest reversals in history.

I’m interested to learn what you think.

Leave a comment down below.

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Related: Is AMC Stock Due to Go Up Next Week?

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