Tag: Margin Call (Page 1 of 4)

Phase 6 Margin Call Requirements on The Way

Phase 6 Margin Call Requirements
Market News: Phase 6 Margin Call Requirements on the way | ISDA

Market News: Phase 6 margin call requirements are on the way.

Institutions under UMR who had not previously been affected by these specific margin requirements will be as of September 1st, 2022.

Uncleared Margin Rules (or UMR) were created to address the OTC derivatives market–and its participants– in the wake of the global financial crisis (GFC) of 2008-2009.

It implemented new margin requirements for non-centrally cleared derivatives to avoid further systemic risk.

For this reason, they were ‘phased in’, or broken down by phases.

Institutions affected by phase 6 margin call requirements could find themselves in a sticky situation and I’m going to discuss why down below.

Let’s get started!

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Preparing for margin calls

The requirement to exchange initial margin for over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives is one of the last remaining pillars of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (Dodd-Frank) that remains to be fully implemented.

The five-year implementation period began in 2016.

UMR Phases - Phase 6 Margin Requirements
UMR Phases – Phase 6 margin requirements

The chart above depicts the number of counterparties affected throughout each phase.

Phase 5 occurred in September of 2021 where 319 counterparties were affected.

We will be entering Phase 6 in September of 2022, where 775/990 counterparties with more than the $8 billion scope detailed on the graph, or gross amount across all uncleared OTC trades, will be affected.

Phase 5 of UMR touched a mix of sellside and buyside firms, especially medium-sized banks and larger buyside firms.

However, Phase 6 is almost exclusively buyside-focused meaning we could potentially see a massive market rebound, per Bloomberg.

Institutions affected by Phase 6 margin call requirements may include asset managers, banks, hedge funds, and private family offices.

The entire process is extremely challenging according to Bloomberg.

But while it may seem complex in nature, it’s the results that truly matter.

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How long will it take for margin calls to happen?

Although Phase 6 margin call requirements are going into effect on September 1st, 2022, it’s important to note that this is going to take some time.

The derivatives market is massive, now boasting approximately 1 quadrillion derivatives as of May 2022, per Investopedia.

The Senior Principal at BNY Mellon has said in the past that even after Phase 6 there will be margin calls that will still have to be processed.

That’s how massive this event will be.

Phase 6 margin call requirements will begin to margin a variety of sized banks, hedge funds, market makers, and family offices.

The bottom line, the markets need this reset, and its coming.

For a much greater and in-depth walkthrough of what this event means, check out AMCBIGGUM’s video below.

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For You: Retail Investors Petition to Fire SEC Chairman Gary Gensler
Phase 6 Margin Call Requirements meaning

Are Institutions Preparing to Close Short Positions in AMC?

how soon will institutions close short positions in AMC stock?
How soon will institutions close short positions in AMC stock?

Retail investors have been waiting for big institutions to close their short positions in AMC for over a year now.

Many short positions in AMC Entertainment stock still remained open after January’s and May’s runup last year.

This year’s bear market has dropped stock prices back to all-time lows.

Will this provide institutions with incentive to close short positions in AMC now?

Let’s discuss it below.

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AMC drops to all-time lows again

Are institutions preparing to close short positions in AMC stock?
Are institutions preparing to close short positions in AMC stock?

The entire market is on a free-fall.

AMC Entertainment stock managed to fall below $13 on Monday despite heavy buying volume.

The off-exchange trading for AMC is currently around 62.26% according to Fintel, and shorts have borrowed an additional 1M shares to short the stock according to Stonk-O-Tracker.

These predatorial strategies have retail investors pinned and losing money on their investment.

The economy’s health isn’t helping much either, but further fueling the market’s stress.

Interest rates are rising, inflation is at an all-time high, and the U.S is battling several issues outside the country with Russia and Ukraine, and at home.

Today’s economy has the entire market beat.

And AMC Entertainment is no exception the free-fall despite the company’s continuous progress.

AMC has become a trading ground

Traders and institutions are trading AMC at all times.

At some point, positions will have to get closed.

DTCC B16845-22 raised margin requirements by 25% for stock trading above $10 per share.

If AMC stock drops below $10 per share, then margin requirements will be raised to 30%.

This is rather significant because it requires institutions shorting AMC stock to carry more collateral.

Unfortunately for the rest of the market, institutions will continue to create massive selloffs just to keep up with these margin requirements.

But it gets worse for them because the lower AMC drops, the more collateral will be required of them.

Financial institutions are being stretched beyond their means and it’s not going to end well for them.

We’ve already seen hedge funds fall – and we can expect this trend to continue.

Related: Hedge Fund Melvin Capital is Shutting Down in June

Could institutions be preparing to close short positions?

Institutions will eventually begin to hedge on the upside (long).

For this to happen, they will need to identify the market’s bottom.

Economists believe there is still quite aways to go before the market begins bottoming out.

Others such as Forbes believes the stock market is finishing this crater of a selloff.

With this in mind, institutions always strategize when it comes to market conditions.

It is very possible AMC short sellers could begin to close their positions as the markets begin to bottom out.

When this will occur is unknown.

No one has been able to perfectly time the market; however, there are always signals in the market that allow investors to foresee specific trends.

A reversal is imminent

Despite where the bottom lies, investors holding AMC stock should know that a reversal is imminent.

A reversal is a change in the price of an asset which can occur to the upside or downside – depending on a securities’ current trendline.

For AMC, a reversal would push the stock up.

Not only is a reversal imminent for AMC stock, but for the entire market as well.

Stocks can’t keep going down forever, at some point they must go up again.

I have a feeling this is going to be one of the biggest reversals in history.

I’m interested to learn what you think.

Leave a comment down below.

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Related: Is AMC Stock Due to Go Up Next Week?

DTCC B16845-22: Are Margin Calls on The Way?

DTCC B16845-22
DTCC B16845-22 | Market News

On April 29, the DTCC released B16845-22 under the ‘settlement’ category.

The subject reads: changes to DTC collateral haircuts.

The notice is directed to all market participants and I’m going to touch topic on what this means down below.

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DTCC B16845-22 margin calls

DTCC B16845-22 says that affected participants may be margin called if they have reduced their collateral.

The reason being is that equities with reduced collateral value may significantly drop in price.

Stock prices over $10 will see an increase in margin requirements by 25%.

For prices between $7.50-$9.99 per share, margin requirements will increase by 30%.

There will be a 50% margin increase on stock prices between $5.00-$7.49, and a 100% increase on stocks with prices below $5 per share.

So, will DTCC B16845-22 affect AMC stock or GME stock?

Yes, since AMC is trading around $15 per share and GameStop is trading above $114.

Both these stocks will raise margin requirements by 25%, making it less accessible for short sellers to short the stocks.

However, as long as short sellers are able to meet margin demands, the heavy shorting will continue.

Why was this rule implemented?

The stock market has been facing massive selloffs as well as heavy short selling.

It’s possible DTCC B16845-22 was implemented as a way to cool off short selling, allowing the markets to catch a breather.

Some of the top CEOs in America have stated that they don’t expect this bear market to last long.

I don’t think anyone wants to see the U.S. go into another recession very soon.

While short sellers might have been able to profit from this market’s downside, I think we’re going to see more upside very soon.

What do you think?

Join the discussion in the comment section below?

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Citadel Faces Potential Default on Russian Tech Company

Citadel Default on Russian bonds
Market News: Citadel faces potential default on Russian bonds

Citadel is facing potential default on convertible bonds from Russia’s Yandex NV.

Yandex NV is an internet and technology company that provides an internet search engine in Russia and other international markets.

Tigran Khudaverdyan has stepped down from his roles as Executive Director and Deputy CEO at Yandex.

Citadel could default on convertible bonds worth billions.

Here’s how Russia is affecting the hedge fund.

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(Bloomberg) Tech company suspension could lead to Citadel default in Russian bonds

Yandex Russian Bonds

The Russian tech company’s U.S. shares have been suspended for more than five days, enabling bondholders to ask for repayment in full. 

Citadel just happens to be one of those bondholders who wants their money back.

The firm said it does not have the money to redeem the $1.25 billion bonds, which are meant to be exchangeable for common stock.

Yandex is one of few Russian companies with convertible bonds issued from foreign financial institutions.

And because restrictions complicate the transfer of money out of Russia, access to capital markets to raise funds any time soon seems highly unlikely.

This significantly increases the odds of Citadel having to default on their Russian bonds.

If Citadel defaults on these bonds, the hedge fund would have accrued additional losses its first quarter of 2022.

Representatives from Citadel declined to comment on the matter, according to Bloomberg.

JP Morgan Chase & Co. turns down advisory role

JP Morgan turns down advisory role
Citadel and bondholders seek advisory – JP Morgan declines

Bondholders have the right to ask to be repaid in full if the company’s shares stop trading for over five days.

However, Yandex only has $615 million in cash with only 60% of that money located outside of Russia.

This means Yandex only has approximately $369 million in liquidity.

That’s a massive difference from the $1.25 billion they owe to Citadel and other institutions affected.

Because sanctions are preventing money from leaving Russia, it’s impossible Citadel will obtain cash from the country.

Bondholders are struggling to find advisors to navigate the process.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. turned down an advisory role on the situation after participating in initial discussions.

The bank simply does not want to get involved.

Will Citadel default on these bonds?

The chances are very likely.

Margin call tension rises

Credit Suisse has been margin calling clients exposed to Russia.

In the coal industry, Peabody received a $534 million margin call.

We’ve recently seen Citadel pull back $2 billion from Gabe Plotkin’s Melvin Capital as they too have been experiencing losses.

Even as Citadel faces default on Russian bonds, the hedge fund has sent signals of distress in the past few months.

Events include from receiving a $1.2 billion lifeline from Paradigm and Sequoia to restricting customers from cashing out.

The Russia-Ukraine conflict is creating losses even for short sellers during a time they would usually profit.

It seems it’s only a matter of time before hedge funds start receiving margin calls too.

But will big banks be able to bail everyone out?

What do you think?

Leave a comment below.

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Read: Ukraine: These famous brands have pulled out from Russia


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