Tag: Bank of America (Page 1 of 2)

SEC Scraps Vote for Hedge Fund Transparency Rule

SEC Scraps Vote for Hedge Fund Transparency Rule
Market News Daily: SEC scraps vote for hedge fund transparency rule.

(WSJ) The Securities and Exchange Commission scrapped plans to vote Wednesday on a rule that would have increased regulators’ visibility into financial risks at some hedge funds and private equity funds.

After scheduling the vote last week, the five-member commission “decided to take a little more time” on the rule, an SEC spokeswoman said.

She declined to comment on whether the cancellation owed to a lack of majority support from the commission, which is composed of three Democrats and two Republicans.

Several SEC commissioners could not immediately be reached for comment.

The rule, proposed early last year over Republican opposition, would have increased reporting requirements for filers of a confidential document called Form PF.

Among other proposed changes, it would have required large hedge funds to file reports within one business day of incidents such as extraordinary investment losses, defaults by major counterparties or spikes in margin requirements.

The rule sparked pushback from lobbyists for the hedge-fund and private-equity industries in Washington.

The Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, urged the SEC last week to hold off on finalizing the rule until it was ready to adopt a separate Form PF proposal issued last August.

Who is the Managed Funds Association?

Who is the managed funds association?
Who is the managed funds association? Citadel’s Ken Griffin.

The Managed Funds Association, or MFA, is an association made up of a variety of hedge fund managers, including Citadel, Two Sigma, Point72, and Millennium Management.

That’s right, some of the industry’s biggest short sellers and the SEC just prolonged this transparency rule.

Citadel, Anchorage (defaulted), Millennium Management, and Bank of America are a few of the members who are or have been short on ‘meme stocks’ such as AMC Entertainment.

For years now, retail investors who were part of the events that occurred in 2021 have urged the SEC to enforce proper regulation from sneaky hedge funds and banks with overleveraged short positions.

The SEC has sparked excitement within the retail community when it’s announced proposals that would shed light on darker markets — however, trust has been severed as the regulator has only proved to be complicit to market injustices.

Dark pools, OTC trading, and naked shorting have suppressed retail’s favorite company stocks from rising on true demand.

Shorting has its purpose and is a useful tool to keep the markets balanced and in check.

Manipulative shorting on the other hand is what retail activists are fighting against — the un-American type that sinks businesses and disrupts innovation.

Northwest Biotherapeutics sued Citadel and other market makers for manipulating its stock price in December of 2022.

Ken Griffin’s Citadel chose to profit from the US cancer drug company through the means of short selling, a practice the hedge fund/market maker is notoriously known for.

Rather than allow the company to raise money for its treatments, hedge funds teamed up to profit from manipulated falling share prices.

But the lawsuit comes as no surprise to the retail community as Citadel has a long history of market manipulation.

Retail Investors Organize and Fight Back

Market News Daily: SEC Scraps Vote for Hedge Fund Transparency Rule.
Market News Daily: SEC Scraps Vote for Hedge Fund Transparency Rule.

‘We The Investors’ is taking Wall Street head on which means retail investors from around the world are now being represented in a way like never before for the first time in history.

More than 1,300 letters have been submitted to the SEC supporting rules proposed in December that represent the biggest changes to equities trading in nearly two decades, according to Reuters.

The collective of retail investors have joined ‘We The Investors’ led by Dave Lauer in efforts to combat Wall Street as a legitimate organization that sprouted from the events of the ‘meme stock’ frenzy in 2021.

Halts in AMC, GameStop, and other stocks during at the time angered many investors which led to the exposure of crime and market injustices on social media.

Retail investors have been pushing for market transparency ever since.

We The Investors has held two online meetings since December with SEC Chair Gary Gensler, who took questions directly from retail investors on the proposals, which include requiring most retail stock orders to be sent to auctions to boost competition.

Other proposed rules call for a new standard for brokers to demonstrate they’ve gotten the best execution for clients on transactions, as well as lower trading increments and access fees on exchanges, and stronger disclosure around retail order executions.

But Wall Street, including Ken Griffin’s Citadel is pushing back.

Related: “The Game is Rigged”, Says Ex-Citadel Data Scientist

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Market News Daily: SEC Scraps Vote for Hedge Fund Transparency Rule.

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Credit Suisse Was Bailed but Clients Keep Pulling Out Money

Market News Daily: Credit Suisse Bank News Today.
Market News Daily: Credit Suisse Bank News Today.

Credit Suisse is trying to lure investments from wealthy clients in Asia by offering higher deposit rates than its competitors, Reuters has reported citing people familiar with the development.

Sources said the offers are valid until the end of this quarter and only apply to new cash deposits, not to existing portfolios.

The Swiss National Bank and Finma, the top financial regulator in Switzerland, said Credit Suisse “meets the higher capital and liquidity requirements applicable to systemically important banks.”

The regulators didn’t provide details of what type of liquidity they would offer, but said they are in very close contact with the bank.

“If regulators do not handle the Credit Suisse situation well, this will send shock waves through the whole sector,” said Joost Beaumont, head of bank research at Dutch lender ABN Amro.

Credit Suisse has been the problem child of European banking for several years.

Repeated scandals and financial losses have hammered the 166-year-old bank, which combines a wealth-management business catering to the world’s elite rich with a Wall Street investment bank. 

The bank is classified as a “systemically important financial institution” under international banking rules created after the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

Such designations require the bank to hold higher amounts of capital and to maintain plans for an orderly unwinding of its operations in case it gets into trouble. 

Like Silicon Valley Bank, Credit Suisse has suffered large deposit outflows in recent quarters.

Some local units briefly breached regulatory liquidity coverage ratios last fall.

That means they weren’t holding enough easy-to-sell assets, such as bonds, to safely cover customer withdrawals.

Top 4 Wall Street Banks See Big Losses

Wall Street’s 4 top banks just had $55 billion wiped off their market value in a single day.

Four of America’s biggest banks lost a combined $55 billion of market value in a single day as financial stocks plunged.

US bank shares took a beating amid fears of contagion effects from the turmoil at Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate.

 JPMorgan Chase, Bank of AmericaWells Fargo and Morgan Stanley – the four most valued US lenders – saw $55 billion wiped off their combined market capitalization last Thursday, Refinitiv data show.

JPMorgan, the biggest US bank, alone saw a $22 billion tumble in its market value as its stock slid 5.41% to $130.34.

Wall Street’s Bank of America lost $16.16 billion as its share price fell 6.20% to $30.54.

Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley saw their market capitalization drop by $10.3 billion and $6.2 billion, respectively.

Among other major US banks, Goldman Sachs and Citi also witnessed significant declines in their share prices.

Credit Suisse Warned Investors of Potential Losses in Q4 of 2022

Market News Daily: Credit Suisse Bank News Today.
Market News Daily: Credit Suisse Bank News Today.

The SEC released Credit Suisse’s 6-K filing where the bank warns investors of potential losses due to naked short covering, more on that below.

Credit Suisse (CS) took a massive hit of $4.09 billion in Q3 and hinted at occurring losses in an upturn in markets — something we saw at the start of 2023.

The bank proceeded to hire 20 banks for a $4 billion injection in effort to pivot from Q3’s disaster.

In a statement, the bank says, “Conversely, to the extent that we have sold assets that we do not own, or have net short positions, in any of those markets, an upturn in those markets could expose us to potentially significant losses as we attempt to cover our net short positions by acquiring assets in a rising market.

“Market fluctuations, downturns and volatility can adversely affect the fair value of our positions and our results of operations.

Adverse market or economic conditions or trends have caused, and in the future may cause, a significant decline in our net revenues and profitability.”

The closing of naked shorts this year would send affected securities soaring as buying momentum compounds.

Credit Suisse recently postponed publication of its annual report after a last-minute call from the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which raised questions about its earlier financial statements.

The unusual intervention by the U.S regulator is the latest blow to Credit Suisse as it attempts to rebuild investor confidence after a series of scandals and setbacks that have sent its shares plunging and led clients to withdraw billions, per Reuters.

Market News Published Daily

Market News Daily: Credit Suisse Bank News Today.
Market News Daily: Credit Suisse Bank News Today.

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SVB Distributed Bonuses Hours Before Bank Collapsed

Banking News: SVB gave company-wide bonuses hours before it collapsed.
Banking News: SVB gave company-wide bonuses hours before it collapsed.

Silicon Valley Bank employees received their annual bonuses on Friday just hours before the government took control of the company, according to Fox Business.

The Santa Clara, California-based band collapsed last week and is now under the control of federal regulators.

SVB had been the 16th-largest bank in the U.S. prior to the bank run that led to its downfall.

The bank held a reputation as a go-to for a number of Silicon Valley industries and startups.

Y Combinator, an incubator startup that launched Airbnb, DoorDash and DropBox, regularly referred entrepreneurs to them.

SVB’s collapse was so quick that, hours before its closure, some industry analysts were hopeful that the bank was still a good investment.

The bank’s shares had fallen by 60% on Friday morning after a similar drop the day before. 

Anxious depositors rushed to withdraw their money over concern for the bank’s health, causing its collapse, which may serve as “an extinction-level event for startups,” according to Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan.

Entrepreneur and Dallas Mavericks owner Mark Cuban called for federal regulators to buy out the bank earlier on Friday.

“The Fed should IMMEDIATELY buy all the securities/debt the bank owns at near par, which should be enough to cover most deposits,” Cuban wrote as part of a lengthy Twitter chain last week. “Any losses paid for in equity and new debt from the new bank or whoever buys it. The Fed knew this was a risk. They should own it.” 

SVB traditionally processes annual bonuses on the second Friday of March, unnamed sources associated with the bank told CNBC.

The bonuses were reportedly for work completed in 2022.

Banking News: Wall Street Banks Face Distress

Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) isn’t the only bank experiencing serious distress.

Wall Street banks lost $55 billion in just one day last week.

Four of America’s biggest banks lost a combined $55 billion of market value in a single day as financial stocks plunged.

US bank shares took a beating Thursday amid fears of contagion effects from the turmoil at Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate.

JPMorgan saw the biggest tumble in market value among US lenders, losing $22 billion. 

(Markets Insider) JPMorgan Chase, Bank of AmericaWells Fargo and Morgan Stanley – the four most valued US lenders – saw $55 billion wiped off their combined market capitalization on Thursday, Refinitiv data show.

JPMorgan, the biggest US bank, alone saw a $22 billion tumble in its market value as its stock slid 5.41% to $130.34.

Wall Street’s Bank of America lost $16.16 billion as its share price fell 6.20% to $30.54.

Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley saw their market capitalization drop by $10.3 billion and $6.2 billion, respectively.

Credit Suisse Bank Sees Billions in Withdraws

Credit Suisse (NYSE:CS) clients have withdrawn billions of dollars in the past several months.

In November, the bank warned investors in a 6-K filing of potential losses due to naked short covering, which as scared investors from losing most if not all of their money.

Credit Suisse also took a massive hit of $4.09 billion in Q3 and hinted at occurring losses in an upturn in markets.

This has fueled widespread withdraws from the bank leading it to borrow money.

The bank hired 20 banks for a $4 billion injection in effort to pivot from Q3’s disaster.

Credit Suisse has postponed publication of its annual report after a last-minute call from the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which raised questions about its earlier financial statements.

The unusual intervention by the U.S regulator is the latest blow to Credit Suisse as it attempts to rebuild investor confidence after a series of scandals and setbacks that have sent its shares plunging and led clients to withdraw billions.

Market News Published Daily

Banking News: SVB gave company-wide bonuses hours before it collapsed.
Banking News: SVB gave company-wide bonuses hours before it collapsed | SVB News.

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Wall Street Banks Lost $55 Billion in Just One Day

Market News Daily - Wall Street Banks lost $55 billion in just one day.
Market News Daily – Wall Street Banks lost $55 billion in just one day.

Wall Street’s 4 top banks just had $55 billion wiped off their market value in a single day.

Four of America’s biggest banks lost a combined $55 billion of market value in a single day as financial stocks plunged.

US bank shares took a beating Thursday amid fears of contagion effects from the turmoil at Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate.

JPMorgan saw the biggest tumble in market value among US lenders, losing $22 billion. 

(Markets Insider) JPMorgan Chase, Bank of AmericaWells Fargo and Morgan Stanley – the four most valued US lenders – saw $55 billion wiped off their combined market capitalization on Thursday, Refinitiv data show.

JPMorgan, the biggest US bank, alone saw a $22 billion tumble in its market value as its stock slid 5.41% to $130.34.

Wall Street’s Bank of America lost $16.16 billion as its share price fell 6.20% to $30.54.

Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley saw their market capitalization drop by $10.3 billion and $6.2 billion, respectively.

Among other major US banks, Goldman Sachs and Citi also witnessed significant declines in their share prices.

Credit Suisse Clients Withdraw Billions

Credit Suisse News Today - Wall Street Banks lost $55 billion in just one day.
Credit Suisse News Today – Wall Street Banks lost $55 billion in just one day.

Credit Suisse (NYSE:CS) clients have withdrawn billions of dollars.

In November, the bank warned investors in a 6-K filing of potential losses due to naked short covering.

Disarming these types of overleveraged positions won’t be easy.

Credit Suisse took a massive hit of $4.09 billion in Q3 and hinted at occurring losses in an upturn in markets.

Now Credit Suisse as postponed publication of its annual report, per Reuters — more on that below.

The bank hired 20 banks for a $4 billion injection in effort to pivot from Q3’s disaster.

Is Credit Suisse on the verge of collapsing?

(Reuters) Credit Suisse has postponed publication of its annual report after a last-minute call from the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which raised questions about its earlier financial statements.

The unusual intervention by the U.S regulator is the latest blow to Credit Suisse as it attempts to rebuild investor confidence after a series of scandals and setbacks that have sent its shares plunging and led clients to withdraw billions.

Credit Suisse shares were close to their all-time low in Zurich on Thursday but later recovered much of a 6% loss.

Swiss financial regulator Finma told Reuters that Credit Suisse had informed it of the delayed publication.

“We are in contact with the bank,” Finma said.

What is Happening with Banks Right Now?

SVB Bank News Today - Wall Street Banks lost $55 billion in just one day.
SVB Bank News Today – Wall Street Banks lost $55 billion in just one day.

Banks are losing billions in liquidity leading many to believe a financial collapse is imminent.

In February, Credit Suisse reported that 2022 brought its biggest annual loss since the 2008 global financial crisis after rattled clients pulled funds from the bank, and it warned that a further “substantial” loss would come this year.

Among a string of scandals, Credit Suisse was hard hit by the collapse of U.S. investment firm Archegos in 2021 as well as the freezing of billions of supply chain finance funds linked to insolvent British financier Greensill.

Investors have been speculating that Credit Suisse will be the next bank to default — time will certainly tell.

“SVB collapse is the second-largest bank failure in US history”, says CNN.

Startup investors have shared their concerns on Twitter in regard to capital being held by the banks.

Many are urging one another not to use a bank at the moment, speculating that this is a sector-wide issue.

Market News Published Daily

Market News Today - Wall Street Banks Lost $55 Billion in Just One Day.
Market News Today – Wall Street Banks Lost $55 Billion in Just One Day.

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These Companies Are Facing Massive Layoffs This Year

which companies are laying off employees this year?
Market News: Which companies are laying off employees this year?

Some of the biggest companies in the U.S. are facing massive layoffs this year as well as slashing salaries for big executives.

Many employees began to get laid off since the last quarter of 2022.

However, the trend continues into 2023 as a recession looms.

The workforce is expected to shrink for majority of the year according to Bank of America economists.

“There is a slowdown happening, there is no question about it. We are expecting a fairly weak economy throughout the entire year,” said Wells Fargo CEO Charlie Scharf.

Which companies are laying off employees in 2023?

  1. PayPal – 2,000 employees
  2. FedEx – More than 10% of its workforce
  3. Ford – 3,200 employees
  4. Amazon – 18,000 employees
  5. Wayfair – 10% of its workforce
  6. Goldman Sachs – 3,200 employees
  7. Twitter – 7,700 employees
  8. Microsoft – 10,000 employees

“A recession is very likely in the U.S.,” BoFa wrote in its Year Ahead 2023 report. The bank points out that this recession can last through the third quarter of 2023.

There’s no official definition of a recession, but many economists define it as a period of two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth or gross domestic product (GDP) decline – a drop that’s already been seen in 2022, says FOX Business.

But many Americans already believe the U.S. is already in a recession.

Nearly 77% of market participants said they expect a recession in 2023 with many arguing the U.S. economy has already been in one since last year.

Do you think we will go into a recession this year?

Vote using the poll above or leave a comment down below.

1. PayPal – 2,000 employees

PayPal layoffs
Companies laying off in 2023.

The cuts account for around 7% of the company’s workforce and will take place over the next few weeks, CEO Dan Schulman said in a statement.

Schulman emphasized that the company was operating in a “challenging macroeconomic environment,” and said that while the company had made progress getting its cost structure under control, it had “more work to do.”

The CEO wrote that laid-off workers would be given severance and support after they departed the company.

“We will treat our departing colleagues with the utmost respect and empathy, provide them with generous packages, engage in consultation where required, and support them with their transitions,” he wrote. “I want to express my personal appreciation for the meaningful contributions they have made to PayPal.”

Source(s): Fortune.

2. FedEx – More than 10% of its workforce

FedEx announced plans on Wednesday to cut 10% of its officer and director team, one day after PayPal, HubSpot and HarperCollins announced rounds of layoffs—making them the latest U.S. companies to reduce their head counts as recession fears linger into 2023.

The company employs approximately 547,000 people.

Employee layoffs are reported to be full-time positions with at least 90 FedEx office locations closing this year.

3. Ford – 3,200 employees

Ford Motor Co. plans to cut about 3,200 jobs across Europe, following workforce reductions in the US as the automaker slashes costs in a shift toward electric vehicles.

The European cutbacks come after Ford already eliminated 3,000 jobs primarily in the US in the second half of last year.

Chief Executive Officer Jim Farley is targeting $3 billion in cuts as he seeks to boost profits from traditional internal combustion engine models to help finance the $50 billion he is pouring into developing electric vehicles.

“We absolutely have too many people in some places, no doubt about it,” Farley told analysts in July after Bloomberg broke the news of the coming job cuts. “We have skills that don’t work any more, and we have jobs that need to change.”

4. Amazon – 18,000 employees

Amazon Layoffs 2023
Layoff News Amazon – Which companies are laying off employees in 2023?

Amazon’s 18,000-plus job cuts announced this month are being felt broadly across the company’s sprawling operations, from physical retail technology and grocery stores to robotics and drone delivery, and even in cloud computing.

That’s according to a spreadsheet created after the layoff announcement by an employee, who has encouraged those affected to submit their information for use by recruiters. The database, which was circulated widely on LinkedIn, provides a window into the businesses hit with layoffs.

CEO Andy Jassy wrote in a blog post in early January that “several teams” were impacted but that the cuts would primarily be centered in Amazon’s worldwide stores and human resources divisions.

Beyond that, the company provided scant details on where downsizing would take place in 2023.

5. Wayfair: 10% of its workforce

Wayfair’s stock price jumped more than 20% last Friday after the retail giant said it will let go of roughly 1,750 employees, or 10% of its global workforce, to support company-wide cost reductions.

The announcement marks Wayfair’s second round of job cuts in less than six months since the retailer let go of about 5% of its workforce in August.

Executives expect the two rounds of layoffs will save $750 million a year, according to a press release.

6. Goldman Sachs – 3,200 employees

Goldman Sachs Layoffs 2023
Which companies are laying off in 2023?

Goldman Sachs said on Jan. 17 it had laid off around 3,200 employees as part of a headcount reduction, per Reuters.

The bank said its board had awarded Chief Executive David Solomon compensation of $25 million for his work in 2022, compared with $35 million the previous year.

This comes to a reduction of approximately one third.

Morgan Stanley also paid less to Chief Executive James Gorman, though only by 10%. 

Bank of America, one of the largest banks in the U.S. is also preparing to trim its workforce in an effort to cut expenses over fears of a looming recession.  

7. Twitter – 7,700 employees

Twitter had laid off 7,700 employees after the Musk takeover.

The company plans to lay off 50 workers in the social media site’s product division in the coming weeks, news site Insider reported on Wednesday, citing two people familiar with the company.

The layoffs, which come six weeks after top boss Elon Musk reportedly told staff that there would not be further retrenchment, could reduce the company’s headcount to under 2,000, according to the report.

However, Elon Musk also confirmed Twitter would be hiring some at some point to which he did not specify in 2023.

elon musk hiring

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8. Microsoft – 10,000 employees

The job cuts, which amount to less than 5 percent of the company’s work force, are its largest in roughly eight years.

Microsoft on Wednesday became the latest addition to a growing list of big technology companies that have announced plans to lay off employees because of over hiring during the pandemic and worries about the economy.

The company will lay off 10,000 workers, Satya Nadella, Microsoft’s chief executive, said, as it looks to trim costs amid economic uncertainty and to refocus on priorities such as artificial intelligence.

Microsoft employed about 221,000 workers as of the end of June, and the cuts amount to less than 5 percent of its global work force.

JPOW says no recession

Jerome Powell said on Wednesday’s FOMC day to expect soft layoffs but no recession.

Powell says that the disinflationary process has started, stating he’s confident inflation back down to 2% is possible, but this means keeping rates higher for a longer period of time.

The fed says it expects the economy to have positive but suppressed growth in 2023, at least +1%.

I’m curious to hear your thoughts on the economy this year.

All signs point to a recession, is the fed prolonging official announcements?

Leave a comment below.

Market News Published Daily

Layoffs News – which companies are laying off? Market news by Franknez.com.

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Goldman Sachs Lays Off 3,200 Employees and Cuts Salaries

Goldman Sachs Layoffs
Market News: Goldman Sachs layoffs exceed more than 3,000 employees.

Goldman Sachs said on Jan. 17 it had laid off around 3,200 employees as part of a headcount reduction, per Reuters.

The bank said its board had awarded Chief Executive David Solomon compensation of $25 million for his work in 2022, compared with $35 million the previous year.

This comes to a reduction of approximately one third.

Morgan Stanley also paid less to Chief Executive James Gorman, though only by 10%. 

Bank of America, one of the largest banks in the U.S. and one of is preparing to trim its workforce in an effort to cut expenses over fears of a looming recession.  

Recession 2023

bank of america
Bank of America recession news | Goldman Sachs lays off 3,200 people.

Bank of America said in December it is expecting a recession to hit the U.S by the first quarter of 2023.

There is a major slowdown happening says CEO Brian Moynihan.

Economists are now expecting a volatile market to persist in 2023.

A recession may be coming in the first quarter of 2023, according to forecasts by Bank of America (BofA) economists.

“A recession is very likely in the U.S.,” BoFa wrote in its Year Ahead 2023 report. The bank points out that this recession can last through the third quarter of 2023.

There’s no official definition of a recession, but many economists define it as a period of two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth or gross domestic product (GDP) decline – a drop that’s already been seen in 2022, says FOX Business.

More than half or 56% of Americans believe the country is in a recession, according to a recent poll by YouGovAmerica and The Economist. 

“There is a slowdown happening, there is no question about it. We are expecting a fairly weak economy throughout the entire year,” said Wells Fargo CEO Charlie Scharf.

Additional source(s): Reuters.

Market News Published Daily

Market News Today – FrankNez News, Business News + more.
Market News Today: Goldman Sachs lays off 3,200 people – Goldman Sachs Layoffs.

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Where Is the Stock Market Headed in 2023?

Where is the stock market headed in 2023.
Stock Market News: Where is the stock market headed this year?

Where is the stock market headed in 2023? For many of us, the bear market of 2022 was the first bear market we’ve ever experienced.

I’ve been invested in the stock market since 2019, but many of my readers began investing in 2021.

In 2021, many experienced their first bull market, and it was incredible.

So, what can we expect from the market in 2023?

Let’s look at the S&P 500 index and see what experts are saying.

SPY Stock at A Glance: Will Stocks Keep Going Down?

SPY stock (S&P 500) is currently trading in a channel where we may still see the market retest $400.

Breaking below this channel allows us to identify a strong probability of SPY dropping as low as $322.

See the figure below.

SPY Stock (S&P 500) downtrend channel.
SPY Stock (S&P 500) downtrend channel.

This drop in share price means the stock market will plunge to retest its macro channel.

If price breaks below this channel, the U.S economy may experience a much larger market crash.

A bounce on the trendline may momentarily move the market back up until it retests its highest level on that channel.

A break above this channel could eventually bring the stock market up later in the year.

But why not in the beginning of 2023?

Bank of America and Wells Fargo CEOs are expecting a recession to hit the United States during the first quarter of the new year and subside sometime in the last quarter.

Elon Musk recently sold 22 million shares of the company cashing in approximately $3.6 billion earlier in December, stating that he’s preparing for a ‘serious’ recession.

A recession would likely trigger further selloffs causing the market to crash.

But what are other experts saying?

What Are Experts Saying About the Stock Market?

what are experts saying about the stock market
What are experts saying about the stock market?

While technical analysis shows us the stock market is in a downtrend channel, experts are saying a recession will have a great impact on the continuation of a bear market in 2023.

Dan Raju, CEO of Tradier, a brokerage platform says, “The Fed’s obsession with recession will likely result in more interest rate hikes in the first quarter of 2023, which means that we are going to have continued volatility in the financial markets.”

“Two-in-three economists are forecasting a recession in 2023, yet corporate earnings estimates haven’t come down to reflect that,” says Greg McBride, CFA, chief financial analyst, Bankrate.

“If the economy continues to slow and quarterly earnings calls in January reveal a dour outlook for the year, corporate earnings estimates will be marked down and the market could have a renewed tumble.”

Related: Worst and Best Performing Stocks of 2022

“We feel that going into the fall, the stage will be set for a strong recovery from the 2022-2023 cyclical bear market,” says David Keller, president and chief strategist at Sierra Alpha Research.

“If and when a market bottom emerges in the first half of 2023, we’d be looking to technology as a fantastic long-term opportunity, given the heavy drawdowns since late 2021.”

How Can Retail Investors Navigate These Waters?

where are stocks headed in 2023.

The markets aren’t coming down forever, in fact analysts are predicting a recovery sometime in the 3rd quarter of 2023.

Retail investors may always take advantage of these market lows by adding to their portfolios before we begin to see the stock market take off again.

It’s important to remember that bear markets usually last about 9.6 months on average where bull markets tend to last around 2.7 years.

So, while this bear market might drag on a bit longer, it merely gives investors opportunity to buy low.

What are some stocks you plan on buying in 2023?

What are some of your favorite stock picks for the new year?

Leave a comment down below.

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Bank of America Expects a Recession by Q1 of 2023

Market News: Bank of America and Wells Fargo CEO expect a recession in 2023.
Market News: Bank of America and Wells Fargo CEO expect a recession in 2023.

Bank of America is expecting a recession to hit the U.S by the first quarter of 2023.

There is a major slowdown happening says CEO Brian Moynihan.

Economists are now expecting a volatile market to persist in 2023.

A recession may be coming in the first quarter of 2023, according to forecasts by Bank of America (BofA) economists.

“A recession is very likely in the U.S.,” BoFa wrote in its Year Ahead 2023 report. The bank points out that this recession can last through the third quarter of 2023.

There’s no official definition of a recession, but many economists define it as a period of two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth or gross domestic product (GDP) decline – a drop that’s already been seen in 2022, says FOX Business.

But many Americans already believe the U.S. is already in a recession.

More than half or 56% of Americans believe the country is in a recession, according to a recent poll by YouGovAmerica and The Economist. 

Here’s the latest market news.

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Major Slowdown in Economy Points Towards a Recession

Recession News: Bank of America expects a recession in 2023.
Recession News: Bank of America expects a recession in 2023.

While retail payments surged 11% so far this year to nearly $4 trillion, that increase obscures a slowdown that began in recent weeks: November spending rose just 5%, Bank of America’s CEO Brian Moynihan said.

Even Wells Fargo CEO Charlie Scharf is saying, “there is a slowdown happening, there is no question about it. We are expecting a fairly weak economy throughout the entire year.”

American consumers are tapping the brakes on spending as the Federal Reserve’s interest rate increases reverberate throughout the economy, according to the CEOs of two of the largest American banks.

After two years of pandemic-fueled, double-digit growth in Bank of America card volume, the rate of growth is slowing.

Still, the downturn isn’t being felt equally across all retail customers and businesses, Wells Fargo’s CEO said.

Both Wells Fargo and Bank of America CEOs expect a recession by Q1 of 2023 and expect some sort of light at the end of the tunnel by Q4.

The implications of a recession end up affecting majority of the U.S. economy as corporations and businesses struggle to yield market capital in slow-growth conditions.

Wages are affected, unemployment skyrockets, and the banks get left with massive debt when Americans can no longer afford to pay their credit card bills or mortgages.

Do you think we will officially enter a recession in the beginning of 2023?

Leave your thoughts below.

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Source(s): FOX Business, CNBC.


How Can the Average American Pivot in a Recession?

Recession

Read the full article here 👈


Phase 6 Margin Call Requirements on The Way

Phase 6 Margin Call Requirements
Market News: Phase 6 Margin Call Requirements on the way | ISDA

Market News: Phase 6 margin call requirements are on the way.

Institutions under UMR who had not previously been affected by these specific margin requirements will be as of September 1st, 2022.

Uncleared Margin Rules (or UMR) were created to address the OTC derivatives market–and its participants– in the wake of the global financial crisis (GFC) of 2008-2009.

It implemented new margin requirements for non-centrally cleared derivatives to avoid further systemic risk.

For this reason, they were ‘phased in’, or broken down by phases.

Institutions affected by phase 6 margin call requirements could find themselves in a sticky situation and I’m going to discuss why down below.

Let’s get started!

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Preparing for margin calls

The requirement to exchange initial margin for over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives is one of the last remaining pillars of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (Dodd-Frank) that remains to be fully implemented.

The five-year implementation period began in 2016.

UMR Phases - Phase 6 Margin Requirements
UMR Phases – Phase 6 margin requirements

The chart above depicts the number of counterparties affected throughout each phase.

Phase 5 occurred in September of 2021 where 319 counterparties were affected.

We will be entering Phase 6 in September of 2022, where 775/990 counterparties with more than the $8 billion scope detailed on the graph, or gross amount across all uncleared OTC trades, will be affected.

Phase 5 of UMR touched a mix of sellside and buyside firms, especially medium-sized banks and larger buyside firms.

However, Phase 6 is almost exclusively buyside-focused meaning we could potentially see a massive market rebound, per Bloomberg.

Institutions affected by Phase 6 margin call requirements may include asset managers, banks, hedge funds, and private family offices.

The entire process is extremely challenging according to Bloomberg.

But while it may seem complex in nature, it’s the results that truly matter.

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How long will it take for margin calls to happen?

Although Phase 6 margin call requirements are going into effect on September 1st, 2022, it’s important to note that this is going to take some time.

The derivatives market is massive, now boasting approximately 1 quadrillion derivatives as of May 2022, per Investopedia.

The Senior Principal at BNY Mellon has said in the past that even after Phase 6 there will be margin calls that will still have to be processed.

That’s how massive this event will be.

Phase 6 margin call requirements will begin to margin a variety of sized banks, hedge funds, market makers, and family offices.

The bottom line, the markets need this reset, and its coming.

For a much greater and in-depth walkthrough of what this event means, check out AMCBIGGUM’s video below.

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For You: Retail Investors Petition to Fire SEC Chairman Gary Gensler
Phase 6 Margin Call Requirements meaning

Bank of America Increases Short Position in AMC

Market News: Bank of America AMC
Market News: Bank of America increases AMC puts

Bank of America and JP Morgan continue to bet against AMC despite the repercussions.

Like hedge funds, banks have also been under much public scrutiny for betting short in the market.

Regulators subpoenaed some of the largest banks and hedge funds after investigating communications between the two parties earlier this year.

Goldman Sach’s dark pools were investigated in May – a popular issue amongst the retail community.

Combined, hedge funds and banks have millions of shares working against the largest movie theatre chain in the world.

And in this article, I’m going to break down the most recently reported numbers.

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Bank of America bets against AMC Theatres

Market News: Bank of America Increases Short Position in AMC
Market News: Bank of America increases short position in AMC

Bank of America increased their short bets against AMC in May, according to this Fintel report.

The bank now holds a total of 1,007,500 puts of AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. stock.

Retail investors were shocked to discover BofA was one of the top 10 financial institutions betting against the movie theatre chain last year.

And they haven’t left, but rather remained bearish on AMC.

The ball might be in their court in today’s bear market, but retail investors are already weary of the market’s integrity.

Last year, hedge funds sought out to destroy the movie theatre chain by shorting it to bankruptcy.

But retail investors put a stop to the madness – saving AMC Entertainment from collapsing, and inflicting billions of dollars in damage to short sellers.

Retail investors even closed their bank accounts with Bank of America after discovering the bank was betting against the beloved movie theatre stock.

Meme stocks were no joke.

Corporate fraud and corruption were exposed, retail made money, and the media lost all credibility.

But Bank of America isn’t the biggest bear when it comes to AMC stock.

Here’s a list of other banks and hedge funds going short on AMC.

Institutions shorting AMC stock

Institutions shorting AMC stock - who is shorting AMC
Who is shorting AMC?

#1. Susquehanna – 11,004,100 shares short

#2. Citadel – 4,889,900 shares short

#3. Goldman Sachs – 2,785,00 shares short

#4. Group One – 2,221,900 shares short

#5. 683 Capital – 1,992,600 shares short

#6. Bank of America – 1,007,500 shares short

#7. Wolverine Trading – 921,400 shares short

#8. Piction Mahoney – 500,000 shares short

#9. JP Morgan – 400,000 shares short

None of these institutions have closed their positions in AMC.

One hedge fund that was removed from the list is Sculptor Capital LP – the institution closed their small position at a loss this year according to Fintel.

Anchorage Capital closed last year after betting against AMC.

The hedge fund held 4,000,000 puts prior to shutting down.

Even Gabe Plotkin’s Melvin Capital is shutting down in June after GameStop crippled the short seller last year.

Bank of America might have increased their short position in AMC, but is it wise to bet against retail?

Retail has power, and I think retail is about to prove it again very soon.

I’m interested to learn what you think.

Leave your thoughts in the comment section of the blog below.

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