Category: Economic News (Page 1 of 3)

Fed Is Now Holding A Massive $200 Billion Paper Losses

The Fed is now holding a massive $200 billion in paper losses according to fresh data released on Thursday by the central bank.

This week, the U.S. Federal Reserve reported losses surpassing $200 billion, based on data released on Thursday.

As of Wednesday, the Fed’s earnings remittance to the Treasury Department was recorded at negative $201.2 billion.

This figure represents a paper loss, which central bank officials have indicated does not hinder their ability to implement monetary policy.

However, the number figure is still quite startling.

The negative amount is classified as a ‘deferred asset’ in the Fed’s accounting.

The central bank needs to address this shortfall before it can start returning excess earnings to the Treasury, reports Yahoo Finance.

These losses are primarily a result of the Fed’s high-interest rate policies aimed at reducing inflation.

The Fed compensates banks and money market funds for holding cash at the central bank to maintain desired short-term interest rates.

Two years ago, the Fed began experiencing losses, and in 2023, it has faced unprecedented deficits as the payouts for managing rates have exceeded the income generated from the interest on its bond holdings.

The Fed generates revenue through services provided to the banking system and from interest on its bond portfolio.

By law, it is required to return any profits to the Treasury.

For many years, the central bank has remitted significant amounts; research from the St. Louis Fed indicates that nearly $1 trillion was returned to the Treasury between 2011 and 2021.

The current loss situation is linked to an aggressive rate hike cycle that occurred from March 2022 to July 2023, during which the central bank raised its interest rate target from near-zero to between 5.25% and 5.5%.

In March, the Fed reported a paper loss of $114.3 billion for the previous year.

It paid out $176.8 billion to banks and $104.3 billion through its reverse repo facility, while earning $163.8 billion from interest on its bond holdings.

With the recent half-percentage point rate cut and the potential for further easing, the Fed is expected to experience a slower rate of loss moving forward, as it will incur lower interest expenses to maintain its target rates.

However, before it can return cash to the Treasury, it must first address the deferred asset, a process that could take years to tackle.

Yahoo Finance reports that so far, the Fed has not faced significant political scrutiny over its financial situation, which has surprised some observers, including former central bankers.

But doesn’t seem to be the case all over social media.

Americans are indeed scrutinizing the Fed for its poor financial decisions and management of the U.S. economy.

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Also Read: The US Treasury Direct is Now Freezing Customer Accounts

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Gov. Abbott Now Says President Biden Has Abandoned All Responsibility

Gov. Abbott now says president Biden has abandoned all responsibility to protect the United States, criticizing his failure at the border.

Earlier this year, Abbott, joined by 13 Republican governors, held a press conference at Eagle Pass and criticized Biden’s failure to reduce illegal immigration, which reached a record monthly high in December of 2023.

“President Biden has abandoned his constitutional duty to protect Americans by refusing to secure our southern border,” Abbott said.

“During his presidency, Joe Biden has smashed records for illegal immigration and allowed total chaos to be unleashed along our southern border.”

Abbott claimed Biden had “completely abdicated and abandoned his responsibility to enforce the laws of the United States.”

“Joe Biden, it is your turn now — your obligation, your duty, to follow the laws Congress passed and secure the border, just as Texas has,” the Texas governor said, speaking alongside the governors of Tennessee, Montana, Arkansas and Georgia among others.

U.S. Border Patrol agents took into custody more than 225,000 migrants who crossed the southern border — in between official crossings — during the first 27 days of December, according to the preliminary Department of Homeland Security statistics.

The figure does not include legal entries at ports of entry, where the Biden administration has been processing roughly 50,000 migrants each month, mostly under a process powered by a smartphone app.

Given the surge in illegal immigration, Abbott claims that Texas border patrol will do everything short of shooting immigrants to protect the state’s border.

Former president Donald Trump has also criticized the Biden administration for its failures at the border, claiming dangerous people are infiltrating the country.

What will become of the US border under the Democratic and Republican parties?

Leave your thoughts below.

Also Read: Trump Now Says He Plans To Bring Mortgage Rates Down To 3%

Other Political News Today

Market News Today - Gov. Abbott Now Says President Biden Has Abandoned All Responsibility.
Market News Today – Gov. Abbott Now Says President Biden Has Abandoned All Responsibility.

Donald Trump now says Harris is a ‘threat to democracy’ after publishing to X, formerly known as Twitter, a series of his worldview.

The former President says Kamala Harris was the first one out of 22 people to quit when she ran against Biden.

“And now she’s a presidential candidate?,” posted Trump to Musk’s social media platform on Saturday.

“Kamala Harris is the Weakest Presidential Candidate in History on Crime.

She’s allowed millions of people to pour through our Borders, many from prisons, mental institutions and, indeed, terrorists, coming in at levels never seen before.

What gives her the right to run for President? She got no votes to Biden’s 14 Million.

She failed in her previous attempt, was the first one out of 22 people to quit, never made it to Iowa, and now she’s a Presidential Candidate?

This is a Threat to Democracy!”

Harris has recently been criticized for switching sides and opinions on proposals, with Trump supporters stating his beliefs and messages have remained consistent over the years.

“Donald Trump is surrendering to his advisors who won’t allow him to debate with a live microphone,” Harris posted to X.

If his own team doesn’t have confidence in him, the American people definitely can’t.

We are running for President of the United States. Let’s debate in a transparent way—with the microphones on the whole time.

Despite sources such as the Economist suggesting Harris is leading the presidential polls, Trump continues to be the most popular candidate on X.

Presidential Poll - Political News Today
Source: the Economist – Presidential Poll – Trump Harris 2024.

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Also Read: California Is Now Hitting Farmers Up To $10K Fines Per Day

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A New Round of Painful Layoffs Now Hits Missouri

A new round of painful layoffs now hits Missouri as a company shuts down a major company, affecting several hundreds of employees.

Yanfeng International Automotive Technology Co. Ltd. has announced plans to close its Riverside, Missouri factory in November 2024, leading to the layoff of 444 employees.

The company filed a WARN (Worker Adjustment and Retraining Notification) Notice with the Missouri Office of Workforce Development, informing local authorities of the impending job losses to facilitate state and local assistance for affected workers.

This closure coincides with General Motors’ decision to halt production of the Chevrolet Malibu at a nearby assembly plant, further disrupting the auto parts supply chain in the region.

Yanfeng’s facility specializes in manufacturing automotive interior components, and the shutdown reflects broader challenges within the automotive industry, including decreased demand and shifts in production.

This announcement follows another recent closure in the area, as automotive manufacturer Adient informed Missouri officials of plans to lay off 172 workers at its facility.

Both shutdowns will impact members of the United Auto Workers Local 710, adding strain to the local economy and workforce.

These job cuts highlight significant challenges facing Missouri’s automotive sector as the state navigates ongoing disruptions in the industry.

You can search for layoffs in your state here, or follow our layoff news for updates.

Also Read: Cisco Now Profits Billions And Makes Thousands of Unexpected Layoffs

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BofA Now Predicts A Fed Rate Cut of 125 BPS For 2025

BofA now predicts a fed rate cut of 125 BPS for 2025 and another 75 BPS during the fourth quarter of this year.

In a recent analysis, Bank of America (BofA) examined the Federal Reserve’s 50 basis points (bps) rate cut, characterizing it as a “recalibration” of monetary policy rather than the beginning of a more aggressive rate-cutting cycle.

Despite the Fed’s optimistic outlook, BofA expressed doubts about the effectiveness of these measures, predicting deeper cuts ahead.

The bank forecasts an additional 75 bps reduction in the fourth quarter of this year and 125 bps in 2025.

BofA noted that the Fed’s messaging, particularly in Chair Jerome Powell’s comments and the dot plot, was unexpectedly hawkish despite the recent rate cut.

Powell clarified that the cut was not prompted by labor market concerns but was intended to adjust rates closer to neutral.

The Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) maintained a positive outlook, projecting stable growth and a quicker decline in inflation.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement contained significant updates, but they did not align with a dovish interpretation of the rate cut.

BofA highlighted the Fed’s confidence in meeting its inflation targets and remarked that the risks related to inflation and employment were deemed “roughly in balance.”

Notably, the statement included a commitment to “maximum employment,” marking a shift in communication.

Governor Michelle Bowman dissented from the decision, the first such dissent since 2005, indicating some internal disagreement within the Fed.

The SEP released alongside the rate decision was notably optimistic, predicting above-trend growth and a faster path to lower inflation.

While the Fed raised its unemployment forecast to 4.4%, this was viewed as a reflection of current conditions rather than a significant change in outlook.

However, the Fed’s dot plot raised concerns, showing a median forecast of just 100 bps of cuts in 2024, with nearly half the committee anticipating only a 25 bps cut later this year.

BofA suggested this hawkish view could undermine the Fed’s credibility, especially since pre-meeting communications had hinted at a smaller cut.

This divergence may leave the Fed susceptible to market pressures for further reductions.

BofA believes the labor market is likely to remain weak, compelling the Fed to implement a substantial cut in the fourth quarter.

The bank predicts an additional 75 bps cut in 2024 and 125 bps in 2025, leading to a terminal rate of 2.75-3%.

Following the Fed meeting, long-term yields rose slightly, indicating that the central bank’s “recalibration” may not have achieved its intended impact.

BofA concluded that unless economic data consistently shows strength, the Fed may need to abandon its hawkish stance and consider further cuts.

Also Read: The US Treasury Direct is Now Freezing Customer Accounts

Other US Bank News Today

Market News Today - BofA Now Predicts A Fed Rate Cut of 125 BPS For 2025.
Market News Today – BofA Now Predicts A Fed Rate Cut of 125 BPS For 2025.

A massive US bank now gets hit with an AML investigation over flaws related to its internal controls and crimes risk management.

The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) has taken enforcement action against Wells Fargo, raising concerns about the bank’s anti-money laundering (AML) controls and financial crimes risk management.

This development could impact the potential lifting of Wells Fargo’s asset cap and might signal increased scrutiny for other major banks.

On Thursday, the OCC announced it found several deficiencies in Wells Fargo’s AML practices, including issues with suspicious activity reporting, customer due diligence, and customer identification protocols.

The regulatory agreement mandates that Wells enhance its AML and sanctions risk management, secure OCC approval for new offerings, and notify the agency before expanding certain services.

Wells Fargo stated it is already addressing many of the requirements outlined in the agreement and is committed to resolving them with urgency.

Analyst Scott Siefers from Piper Sandler noted that while the formal action was anticipated, it still represents a setback in the bank’s progress to resolve regulatory issues.

Wells Fargo has been under the regulatory microscope since the fallout from its 2016 fake accounts scandal.

Currently, the bank operates under a $1.95 trillion asset cap imposed by the Federal Reserve, one of nine consent orders against it, though six have been lifted since Charlie Scharf became CEO.

The OCC’s 26-page agreement, which did not impose any fines, requires Wells to improve its internal controls and reporting mechanisms related to AML and sanctions practices.

The bank must also enhance its audit program and ensure data integrity for compliance systems.

Jefferies analyst Ken Usdin noted that the broad requirements could impact Wells Fargo’s future growth strategy, but the practical implications remain unclear.

Despite the seriousness of AML issues, Royal Bank of Canada analyst Gerard Cassidy believes this enforcement action will not hinder efforts to lift the asset cap, as it primarily addresses past consumer banking problems.

Wells Fargo has invested significantly in its risk and control operations, hiring around 10,000 employees and increasing spending by $2.5 billion annually since 2018.

This suggests the new regulatory action may not drastically alter overall costs.

Other major banks have also faced scrutiny regarding their AML and sanctions programs.

Bank of America and Citi have highlighted related risks in their recent filings, while JPMorgan Chase continues to disclose ongoing investigations from a 2019 money-laundering incident in India.

Additionally, Canadian lender TD is under investigation for its U.S. AML program related to drug trafficking allegations.

As the financial landscape evolves, the potential for similar enforcement actions against other banks remains uncertain, leaving the industry on alert.

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A Battery Giant Now Announces Unexpected Layoffs As Market Slows

A battery giant now announces unexpected layoffs as the market slows, resulting in huge cost-cutting measures and contraction.

Northvolt, a major battery manufacturer for Europe’s electric vehicle sector, revealed on Monday its plans to reduce its workforce and shut down one of its production sites.

The company is also entering discussions with partners and investors regarding the future of its facility in Poland, per CNBC.

Headquartered in Stockholm, Northvolt has established itself as one of Europe’s most valuable privately held technology firms, specializing in lithium-ion batteries for electric vehicles.

The company has formed partnerships with several major automakers, including Volkswagen and Volvo.

In a strategic review, Northvolt stated it faced the need to make “difficult decisions” to align its workforce with a reduced scale of operations.

While the company did not specify how many jobs would be impacted, it emphasized that no final decisions have been made regarding the specifics of the layoffs.

“We remain in constructive discussions with the unions and will make every effort to minimize redundancies,” the company said.

The decision to implement cost-cutting measures stems from a “challenging macroeconomic environment” and a reassessment of Northvolt’s immediate priorities.

CEO and co-founder Peter Carlsson expressed that focusing on core operations is essential for establishing a solid foundation for long-term growth and supporting the development of a domestic battery industry in the West.

Northvolt has encountered various challenges recently, particularly with the broader electric vehicle market facing demand issues.

According to data from the European Alternative Fuels Observatory, electric vehicle registrations in Europe fell by 3% year-over-year in May, while plug-in hybrid registrations dropped by 10%, totaling 226,000.

Adding to its difficulties, Northvolt faced a major setback in June when BMW canceled a €2 billion contract for EV battery deliveries starting in 2024, citing Northvolt’s inability to meet deadlines.

In addition to job reductions, Northvolt is consolidating its battery production operations across Europe.

In Skellefteå, Sweden, the company has placed its cathode active material production facility, Northvolt Ett Upstream 1, into maintenance mode to optimize production costs.

Furthermore, the Northvolt Fem program in Kvarnsveden will be terminated, with the site already sold to an undisclosed buyer.

In Poland, Northvolt plans to discuss potential partnerships regarding Northvolt Systems, which includes its battery systems production site, Northvolt Dwa.

In the U.S., Northvolt intends to integrate its California-based subsidiary, Cuberg, into its Northvolt Labs unit in Sweden.

Last valued at $12 billion by investors, Northvolt has backing from prominent investors including BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, and Volkswagen.

The company is considered a strong candidate for an initial public offering (IPO) in Europe’s tech landscape, with reports suggesting it could be preparing for a stock market listing that might value it at over $20 billion.

You can search for layoffs in your state here, or follow our layoff news for updates.

Also Read: Cisco Now Profits Billions And Makes Thousands of Unexpected Layoffs

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