Tag: Recession

Market Strategist Suggests 2023 May Be the Year to Buy

February 8, 2023 / Frank Nez

Stock Market News Today: Market Strategist David Rosenberg on stock market outlook.

Market strategist David Rosenberg suggests 2023 may be the year to buy stocks, after the market has dropped another 30% per his prediction.

The former chief North American economist at Merrill Lynch says “the recession’s just starting”, stating the S&P 500 may bottom out around 2900, to which at that point stocks will look attractive again.

Rosenberg is forecasting a bullish market in 2024, which suggests 2023 will be the year to buy and bulk up to build stronger portfolios.

While investors may try to time the bottom, even Rosenberg’s prediction is just that, a prediction.

The market may still drop as the fed continues to regulate and assess interest rate hikes, but how low the market may drop is still uncertain.

Short sellers lost more than $81 billion in only the first month of the new year due to 2023’s rallies.

The SPY is up more than +7% this year-to-date with many popular stocks having much larger gains this first quarter.

AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. (NYSE:AMC) +76.46%
AMC Preferred Equity (NYSE:APE) +165%
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) +79.54%
GameStop (NYSE:GME) +38%
Disney (NYSE:DIS) +23.30%

So, although the start to this year has been rather bullish, Market Strategist David Rosenberg says he doesn’t believe the bottom is in yet.

Is Wall Street out of touch?

Rosenberg says investor sentiment is out of line.

“There is a disconnect between how investors feel about the outlook and how they’re actually positioned.

They feel bearish but they’re still positioned bullishly, and that is a classic case of cognitive dissonance.

We also have a situation where there is a lot of talk about recession and about how this is the most widely expected recession of all time, and yet the analyst community is still expecting corporate earnings growth to be positive in 2023.”

Goldman Sachs says bigger short squeezes are coming since the meme stock frenzy in 2021.

Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) is reporting hedge funds betting against stocks globally abandoned those short positions last week at the fastest pace since 2015, surpassing the speed of exits during the ‘meme stock’ frenzy in 2021.

According to the Goldman note, the speed at which hedge funds exited bearish positions surpassed that seen in January 2021 when retail traders managed to squeeze short sellers out of stocks such as videogame retailer Gamestop (NYSE:GME) and movie theatre operator AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC).

During the ‘meme stock’ frenzy in 2021, GameStop shares rose to nearly $500 per share, or +1,500% that year.

AMC shares rose from $2 early that year to an all-time high of $72 per share, more than +3,000%.

Today, both AMC and GameStop remain heavily shorted with AMC Entertainment having a higher-than-ever cost to borrow fee.

Is the stock market crash over?

While the stock market has performed relatively well going into 2023, Market Strategist David Rosenberg believes the S&P 500 has not bottomed out yet.

Rosenberg predicts 2024 will be a bullish year for the market which suggests buying the 2023 dip could prove to yield gains next year.

Stocks fell all throughout 2022 but have begun to bounce back in 2023; will 2023 see gains and consolidation?

I’m curious to hear your thoughts on this.

Feel welcome to leave a comment down below.

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Market News Today - Market Strategist suggests 2023 may be the year to buy stocks. — Market News Today – Market Strategist suggests 2023 may be the year to buy stocks.

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Where Is the Stock Market Headed in 2023?

January 2, 2023 / Frank Nez

Where is the stock market headed in 2023? For many of us, the bear market of 2022 was the first bear market we’ve ever experienced.

I’ve been invested in the stock market since 2019, but many of my readers began investing in 2021.

In 2021, many experienced their first bull market, and it was incredible.

So, what can we expect from the market in 2023?

Let’s look at the S&P 500 index and see what experts are saying.

SPY Stock at A Glance: Will Stocks Keep Going Down?

SPY stock (S&P 500) is currently trading in a channel where we may still see the market retest $400.

Breaking below this channel allows us to identify a strong probability of SPY dropping as low as $322.

See the figure below.

This drop in share price means the stock market will plunge to retest its macro channel.

If price breaks below this channel, the U.S economy may experience a much larger market crash.

A bounce on the trendline may momentarily move the market back up until it retests its highest level on that channel.

A break above this channel could eventually bring the stock market up later in the year.

But why not in the beginning of 2023?

Bank of America and Wells Fargo CEOs are expecting a recession to hit the United States during the first quarter of the new year and subside sometime in the last quarter.

Elon Musk recently sold 22 million shares of the company cashing in approximately $3.6 billion earlier in December, stating that he’s preparing for a ‘serious’ recession.

A recession would likely trigger further selloffs causing the market to crash.

But what are other experts saying?

What Are Experts Saying About the Stock Market?

While technical analysis shows us the stock market is in a downtrend channel, experts are saying a recession will have a great impact on the continuation of a bear market in 2023.

Dan Raju, CEO of Tradier, a brokerage platform says, “The Fed’s obsession with recession will likely result in more interest rate hikes in the first quarter of 2023, which means that we are going to have continued volatility in the financial markets.”

“Two-in-three economists are forecasting a recession in 2023, yet corporate earnings estimates haven’t come down to reflect that,” says Greg McBride, CFA, chief financial analyst, Bankrate.

“If the economy continues to slow and quarterly earnings calls in January reveal a dour outlook for the year, corporate earnings estimates will be marked down and the market could have a renewed tumble.”

“We feel that going into the fall, the stage will be set for a strong recovery from the 2022-2023 cyclical bear market,” says David Keller, president and chief strategist at Sierra Alpha Research.

“If and when a market bottom emerges in the first half of 2023, we’d be looking to technology as a fantastic long-term opportunity, given the heavy drawdowns since late 2021.”

How Can Retail Investors Navigate These Waters?

The markets aren’t coming down forever, in fact analysts are predicting a recovery sometime in the 3rd quarter of 2023.

Retail investors may always take advantage of these market lows by adding to their portfolios before we begin to see the stock market take off again.

It’s important to remember that bear markets usually last about 9.6 months on average where bull markets tend to last around 2.7 years.

So, while this bear market might drag on a bit longer, it merely gives investors opportunity to buy low.

What are some stocks you plan on buying in 2023?

What are some of your favorite stock picks for the new year?

Bank of America Expects a Recession by Q1 of 2023

December 9, 2022 / Frank Nez

Market News: Bank of America and Wells Fargo CEO expect a recession in 2023.

Bank of America is expecting a recession to hit the U.S by the first quarter of 2023.

There is a major slowdown happening says CEO Brian Moynihan.

Economists are now expecting a volatile market to persist in 2023.

A recession may be coming in the first quarter of 2023, according to forecasts by Bank of America (BofA) economists.

“A recession is very likely in the U.S.,” BoFa wrote in its Year Ahead 2023 report. The bank points out that this recession can last through the third quarter of 2023.

There’s no official definition of a recession, but many economists define it as a period of two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth or gross domestic product (GDP) decline – a drop that’s already been seen in 2022, says FOX Business.

But many Americans already believe the U.S. is already in a recession.

More than half or 56% of Americans believe the country is in a recession, according to a recent poll by YouGovAmerica and The Economist.

Here’s the latest market news.

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Major Slowdown in Economy Points Towards a Recession

Recession News: Bank of America expects a recession in 2023.

While retail payments surged 11% so far this year to nearly $4 trillion, that increase obscures a slowdown that began in recent weeks: November spending rose just 5%, Bank of America’s CEO Brian Moynihan said.

Even Wells Fargo CEO Charlie Scharf is saying, “there is a slowdown happening, there is no question about it. We are expecting a fairly weak economy throughout the entire year.”

American consumers are tapping the brakes on spending as the Federal Reserve’s interest rate increases reverberate throughout the economy, according to the CEOs of two of the largest American banks.

After two years of pandemic-fueled, double-digit growth in Bank of America card volume, the rate of growth is slowing.

Still, the downturn isn’t being felt equally across all retail customers and businesses, Wells Fargo’s CEO said.

Both Wells Fargo and Bank of America CEOs expect a recession by Q1 of 2023 and expect some sort of light at the end of the tunnel by Q4.

The implications of a recession end up affecting majority of the U.S. economy as corporations and businesses struggle to yield market capital in slow-growth conditions.

Wages are affected, unemployment skyrockets, and the banks get left with massive debt when Americans can no longer afford to pay their credit card bills or mortgages.

Do you think we will officially enter a recession in the beginning of 2023?

Leave your thoughts below.

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Source(s): FOX Business, CNBC.

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How Can the Average American Pivot in a Recession?

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Is Now the Time to Buy or Sell in The Market?

November 10, 2022 / Frank Nez

The markets seem to be nowhere near a bounce as both stocks and crypto freefall; is now the time to buy or sell in the market?

If you’re part of the small percentage that’s in profit, maybe liquidating has come through your mind.

Especially if you’re looking to protect your capital and wait for other opportunities.

But what if your portfolio has suffered significant losses?

Is it best to cut your losses and conserve whatever cash you have left?

This article is going to provide you with perspective on ways to not only protect your cash during this nasty bear market, but also how to identify opportunities to multiply your wealth.

Let’s dive right into it.

Should You Buy or Sell?

Whether you should buy or sell in today’s market conditions will depend on how liquid you are and on your future and current investment plans.

Value investors looking to add stocks to their long-term portfolios could benefit from buying the markets lows, though it’s important to keep in mind that the markets are still susceptible to fall.

Dividend stock investors could also benefit from buying these lows.

Diversified investors who are looking for the next opportunity may want to liquidate positions to have cash ready when the time is right for the next move.

Whether that be waiting for real estate opportunities or other markets to tumble, this will highly depend on an individual’s needs.

With so much uncertainty in the markets at the moment, the best thing investors can do is create a plan to guide their investment goals in the right direction.

Identify what you’re aiming to achieve when investing in the market.

Is it long-term capital gains?

Income?

And decide what it is you need to do now in order to meet your investment needs.

Bitcoin Falls Under $16K, Crypto Down

Crypto News. Bitcoin news. — Crypto News: Bitcoin News.

Bitcoin (BTC) fell under $16K on Wednesday.

Peter Schiff warned investors in a Twitter space call to sell Bitcoin today as the cryptocurrency could be headed towards lower levels.

@PeterSchiff says sell #BTC now
— Frank Nez 🇺🇸 (@FNez_Blogger) November 9, 2022

The economists said he does not own any Bitcoin but urges holders to buy back in after a market collapse occurs in the crypto space.

On the other hand, FTX is causing a ruckus as the token falls more than 90% in the past 7 days with nearly 60% happening in the last 24 hours.

FTX investors include:

BlackRock
Ontario Pension Fund
Sequoia Paradigm
Tiger Global
SoftBank
Circle
Ribbit
Alan Howard
Multicoin
VanEck
Temasek

In recent crypto news, Binance backed out from saving FTX leaving the crypto on the brink of collapse.

FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried said that without more capital, bankruptcy is likely.

Stock Market Rains Blood

Is now the time to buy in the bear market?

Stocks continue to bleed as the Fed struggles to maintain economic structure and institutional investors liquidate the market.

The NASDAQ and SPY have seen improvement in the past month, but economists, CEOs, and media influencers say the market has plenty of room to drop.

Stocks fell sharply on Wednesday, a day before CPI announcements.

Poor consumer reports could cause stocks to fall sharply again.

Traders should trade with caution.

With inflation affecting millions of families and corporations such as Netflix, Facebook (META), Twitter, and Tesla laying off tens of thousands of employees, a recession looms.

Whether you decide to buy or sell in today’s markets will ultimately depend on how liquid you are and whether you’re prepared to face a highly likely recession in the coming months to year.

Creating a plan and identifying what you can and cannot do financially as turmoil hits the economy is your best bet of riding this wave.

Do you plan to buy or sell in the market today?

Leave your thoughts down below.

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How Can the Average American Pivot in a Recession?

October 20, 2022 / Frank Nez

Recession 2023 — Want to become recession proof? Here are some steps you can take.

An economic downturn, a recession, call it what you will.

The U.S. economy is in a state of emergency and the average American is suffering financially.

From stock and crypto market crashes to the rise of gas prices and increased inflation, the middle class is in desperate need of help.

The problem is no one is teaching the middle class how to pivot.

Cutting back on expenses isn’t going to do it, you can only cut so much.

This article is going to help you identify several ways to pivot during a recession so that you can take care of your family during economic hard times.

Let’s get started.

Shifting Mindset from Defense to Offense

how to prepare for a recession. — How to prepare for a recession.

During a recession, most people tend to contract, they tend to shrink (cut expenses, coupon, etc.).

Very few, however, expand and look for high reward opportunities.

It’s these opportunities that allows the few to shift their mindsets from defense mode to offense mode.

A defense mindset is idle, waiting for the government to do something about their financial setbacks (job loss, cut hours, lost pension funds, market crashes, etc.).

An offense mindset on the other hand is identifying how to keep up and overcome the changes occurring in their environment.

While most people focus on the things that are out of their control, few focus on the things that are within their control.

If you’re reading this blog, chances are you’re being impacted by our economy today and want to make more money.

Who doesn’t want to make more money?

Money is how we ensure our family’s security and wellbeing in America.

If you want to learn how you can pivot in today’s falling economy by earning more money, keep reading below.

Learn How to Use Leverage and You’ll Never Fall Short Again

We all have the same 24hrs in a day, but do you want to know why successful people make more money than the average person?

It’s not because they work harder than you or because they’re smarter than you.

It’s because they use leverage.

Leverage is a multiplier of both time and money.

What would have taken you decades to accomplish, leverage gets it done at a fraction of the time.

Leverage is accessible to everyone, including you.

But we don’t grow up with mom and dad teaching us this.

So, what are some forms of leverage you can take advantage of as soon as you exit this blog article?

Let’s dive right into them.

Leverage Tools to Help You Make Big Money

#1. Building Your Dream Business

Small business recession — @easymarketingconcepts

Starting a business around your hobby, passion, or skills has the potential to create that world you desire.

How does leverage play a role in building a business?

Think about this for one second.

If you work a 9-5 or commission job, you the employee are generating income for the leader of that organization and getting paid per hour or per sale to do so.

However, if you’re the business owner of a small business or startup, all revenue goes to your business account.

The leverage here is you’re now using your time to build something that will generate positive cashflow instead of giving it away for an hourly wage or commission.

If you don’t have the capital to start a new business, you can always use leverage by taking out a business loan and incrementally paying it back as your business picks up.

Using the banks money to make money is the proper way to leverage someone else’s capital to your advantage.

#2. Day Trading

If you’re already invested in the stock market, then you’ve more than likely heard of day trading.

Day trading uses one of the biggest leveraging tools out there, the stock market/derivatives market.

Here, traders will require intense discipline in order to execute their trades with profit.

Day trading is certainly not for everyone, but if making hundreds of dollars to thousands of dollars per day sounds appealing, you can learn more about it here.

The incredible thing about trading the market is that traders can learn how to make money whether the stock market is booming or crashing.

This means that as long as you’re able to develop the skills necessary to become a consistently profitable trader, you will be able to pivot in a recession and actually make money while most of the economy faces turmoil.

Going on the offense means learning new skills and getting out of your comfort zone to be successful at something outside your 9-5.

You can follow my personal trading journey on Instagram or Twitter.

#3. Monetizing a Platform

Americans are monetizing on Facebook, TikTok, Instagram, YouTube and other platforms such as blogs and podcasts.

If the idea of creating content at scale intrigues you, monetizing a platform could be a great leverage tool for you.

The bigger you grow your audience, the more income you may earn from advertising revenue, affiliate marketing, sponsored content, or other streams.

But the key here is to provide real world value that can help your audience in one form or another.

My blog for example has helped thousands of people invest in the stock and crypto markets for the first time.

Retail investors were able to profit big from investments such as Bitcoin, Shiba Inu Coin, Terra Classic, AMC, and HYMC from early ticker updates on Franknez.com.

Those who took advantage of the information came out profitable before the markets began to tank.

But not everything has to be educational – many creators are publishing content on pretty much any niche that people find interest in.

A platform will help you pivot in a recession by working 24/7 for you.

How to Prepare Personal Finances for a Recession?

In terms of your personal finances, you’ll want to allocate a good chunk of your income into a savings cash account you can build in case of an emergency.

If your income is booming during a recession, consider investing in the S&P 500 index or in rental property.

Many opportunities will present themselves in times of an economic downturn, and when they do, we better be ready.

Becoming Recession-Proof

Becoming recession-proof is really about taking action.

It’s about creating something or developing new skills that will allow you to overcome any hardships that come your way during economic adversity.

Living paycheck to paycheck is hard, learning new skills is hard, building something new and getting out of our comfort zone is hard, so choose your hard.

You Can Follow Me On: Twitter | Facebook | Instagram

Read: Stocks Retail Investors Can Buy to Build Wealth This Decade

How To Stay Afloat During A Recession

April 1, 2020 / Frank Nez

We are super excited to share these amazing tips to keep you grounded during hard times. Kudos to you for looking out for yourself. Here’s how to stay afloat during a recession.

Don’t forget to subscribe to our newsletter!

Budget

Coupon
Cut unnecessary expenses such as subscriptions and streaming services (e.g. Disney Plus, Netflix, Hulu, etc.)
Avoid eating out – includes takeout

Use coupons to your advantage for discounts on your groceries and other necessary household items. By momentarily cutting off subscriptions and streaming services, you give yourself more breathing room. Avoid eating out as it tends to cost more money than cooking at home. Some restaurants or delivery services might offer free delivery at the moment but they are in the same situation during a recession. Take care of yourself first.

Build Your Emergency Fund

build your emergency to stay afloat during a recession

Put money in a high-yielding savings or money market account to earn you interest.
Stack some of your earnings in a personal savings account as liquid money.

By putting money into a high-yielding savings or money market account, your money gets to work for you. Compound interest will begin to accumulate and earn you money every month whether or not you keep depositing earnings. Tip: The more you deposit, the more your return is.

It is important that you keep stacking your money for your necessities. Move money into your personal savings account to keep as liquid money, or money you can pull out within a matter of seconds in case of an emergency. It usually takes 3 business days for earnings to come in from a money market account so it would be wise to keep some cash at hand in a personal savings account.

Live Below Your Means

Hold off on any moving plans, stay put
Avoid liabilities such as a new car / new home
Rethink your current standard of living

If you were planning on upgrading your standard of living this year you might want to hold off on those plans. Stay put, chances are your rent or mortgage is currently lower than where you want to go.

Avoid liabilities altogether. This means the new vehicle, the new home, the new tuition, etc. It is important to stay out of debt during a recession. Liabilities require you to take money out of your pocket and prohibit you from saving and investing it.

Rethink your current standard of living. If you’re able to momentarily downsize then you’re in a great situation, do it to reduce your costs on rent and utilities. Another great tip is to work together with people you trust and split the cost of rent in order to live adequately to cut back expenses and continue to save money.

Use Gift Cards During A Recession

Gift cards are an amazing way to treat yourself for free. Most people tend to use gift cards when the economy is booming and everything is great. If you’re like us, you probably have a few saved. Perhaps you just never got around to using them or have a little sense of self control most don’t.

Gift cards are great during a recession because it allows you to make a purchase without taking money out from your wallet. You’ll never get to appreciate them the same again.

Recycle / Cash In Change

recycle to stay afloat during a recession

Recycling is a great way to keep you afloat during a recession. You’re essentially getting cash back on all your recyclables. Plus, it’s great for our environment; let’s not forget that. Although recycling money may not be a lot, it is certainly a good way to earn $10-$20 every month.

Cashing in loose change is also a great way of gathering money that’s been collecting dust. If you’ve already been filling up the piggy bank now is a great time cash it in.

Work Temp For An Essential Company

Essential companies seem to be the only places hiring during our current coronavirus pandemic situation. Although we are currently facing this issue, it is unlikely we will be coming across this challenge for every recession.

Take precautions, but see what is hiring and how it may convenience you. Go where the money is and keep stacking your money.

Develop An Extra Source Of Income

Developing an extra source of income is one of the best ways to keep you afloat during a recession. There are many ways people are earning money online by working from home. Find your side hustle! Read: “Ways You Can Earn Money During The Coronavirus Lockdown” to see how you can begin making money on the side and from home.

An extra source of income will help pay for your necessities or allow you to put extra cash away into your money market account or personal savings account.

Millennial’s can also earn money by:

Delivering food
Providing ride-sharing services
Opening an eCommerce store
Writing as a freelancer using Fiverr
Tutoring online

We composed more ways on the excerpt below with more details to help you on your journey to earning extra cash!

Read: 7 Easy Ways Millennials Can Start Earning More Money

Sell / Pawn Unused Items

Sell items that you don’t use anymore to keep you afloat during a recession. This strategy is a quick way to put cash in your pocket.

Consider selling (old, extra, or unused):

MP3s / iPods
Cellphones / Smartphones
Blu-ray, DVDs, Headphones, Televisions
Gaming consoles / Games / Movies
Books / Board Games / Magazines

You can sell on Facebook market, eBay, Amazon, Craigslist, etc.

Rethink Transportation

It would be wise to make transportation arrangements in order to cut back on fuel expenses and avoid unforeseen car repairs. If you work locally perhaps it would be best to bike to work. Maybe your work is a few blocks away, walking is another alternative. If your work is cities away carpool with someone one week and alternate driving.

Use A 0% APR Credit Card

We don’t usually condone the use of a credit card but there are times where they become handy, especially when used responsibly. We suggest using a credit card with 0% interest in the event that there are no savings in your account. The 0% APR will help you pay off the credit card without any additional interest per the providers agreement. Do your research to see which cards fit your needs during a recession.

Here are other benefits to using a 0% APR credit card:

Payoff other credit card debt
Apply payments to principle on loans eliminating accruing interest
Most 0% APR credit cards have terms up to a year

Qualifying for one of these bad boys requires you to have great credit score so make sure you keep track of yours.

Read: Best Ways To Use A Credit Card Responsibly

Withdraw From Your 401K

This strategy is last on our list as it is only suggested as a last resort. The government has currently signed off a stimulus package that allows you to withdraw from your 401k without any fees. Although this is only temporary, it is certainly an option in order to keep you afloat during a recession. We recommend keeping a portion of these earnings in a money market account to earn you interest while it’s out of your 401k.

Also Read: How To Better Prepare Yourself For The Next Recession

Market Strategist Suggests 2023 May Be the Year to Buy

Is Wall Street out of touch?

Is the stock market crash over?

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Where Is the Stock Market Headed in 2023?

SPY Stock at A Glance: Will Stocks Keep Going Down?

What Are Experts Saying About the Stock Market?

How Can Retail Investors Navigate These Waters?

What are some stocks you plan on buying in 2023?

Get recognized. Share this with your community!

Bank of America Expects a Recession by Q1 of 2023

Major Slowdown in Economy Points Towards a Recession

How Can the Average American Pivot in a Recession?

Get recognized. Share this with your community!

Is Now the Time to Buy or Sell in The Market?

Should You Buy or Sell?

Bitcoin Falls Under $16K, Crypto Down

Stock Market Rains Blood

Get recognized. Share this with your community!

How Can the Average American Pivot in a Recession?

Shifting Mindset from Defense to Offense

Learn How to Use Leverage and You’ll Never Fall Short Again

Leverage Tools to Help You Make Big Money

#1. Building Your Dream Business

#2. Day Trading

#3. Monetizing a Platform

How to Prepare Personal Finances for a Recession?

Becoming Recession-Proof

Get recognized. Share this with your community!

How To Stay Afloat During A Recession

Don’t forget to subscribe to our newsletter!

Budget

Build Your Emergency Fund

Live Below Your Means

Use Gift Cards During A Recession

Recycle / Cash In Change

Work Temp For An Essential Company

Develop An Extra Source Of Income

Sell / Pawn Unused Items

Rethink Transportation

Use A 0% APR Credit Card

Withdraw From Your 401K

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