Tag: Momentum Plays (Page 2 of 4)

How High Will AMC’s Next Price Runup Go?

How high will AMC's next price runup go?
How high will AMC’s short squeeze go?

AMC’s high short interest data tells us AMC’s next price runup will be higher than its previous run from last year.

The movie theatre chain company reached an all-time high of $72 per share when a few short sellers began to close their positions in June of 2021.

The same executive order that triggered margin calls in January and in June of last year is going into effect again this June.

Executive order 14032 (formerly 13959) prohibited financial institutions from using Chinese securities as collateral – read more about it here.

So, how high will AMC’s next price runup go?

Let’s discuss it below.

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Short sellers have dug a deeper hole

Why is AMC going up?

Short sellers have borrowed more shares to short the stock than they did back in January and June when the stock ran up to $20 and $72 per share.

These shares on loan eventually have to get returned back to the lender (by buying back the stock).

This buying pressure will create momentum, driving AMC’s share price up.

How high AMC’s next price runup goes will depend on how many shorts close their positions.

When AMC surged to $72 per share in June, it had roughly just over 100 million shares on loan and a short interest of 24% before falling to 20%, then 14%.

Today, AMC’s shares on loan have reached an all-time high of 173.61 million with a short interest of more than 23%.

As long as AMC has a high short interest, it’s a short squeeze play.

But there are just way too many factors to determine how high AMC’s next price runup will go.

The percent of shorts closing being one.

The more the short interest drops, the higher we can determine AMC’s share price will skyrocket.

AMC to $100? AMC to $1,000? AMC to $10,000?

how high will AMC go
AMC short squeeze price prediction

But what prices are realistic?

Theoretically AMC has incredible potential based on DD done by many intelligent retail investors.

Apes have created simulations allowing them to see a variety of price levels and possibilities, mainly calculating synthetic shares into the equation.

However, regulators have failed to address synthetics or hold institutions accountable to close these synthetics.

When a law is passed holding institutions accountable to close these synthetics, it will be EPIC.

AMC to $100 per share may only require some short closing.

We know this because of the ride to $72 per share.

Short interest dropped approximately 10 points from 24% to 14%.

14% is still a relatively high short interest, another 10 points from 14% would leave AMC with 4% short interest left – nearly done.

But doubling short covering doesn’t mean double the all-time high.

It could triple, quadruple or even 10X because of individual short positions in AMC.

There are just too many factors out there that limit us identifying exactly how high AMC’s next share price will go.

You may hold to any number you desire, but don’t burn yourself.

Keep an eye out on the data and have a strategy.

Creating a strategy

Every investor should have a strategy and have a plan to profit.

Your selling point will be different than another fellow apes’.

Don’t bag hold on the journey to $1MM per share – but rather accumulate the number of shares that will multiply your profit to a specific and desired goal.

In the end, bulls make money, bears make money, but pigs get slaughtered.

As AMC’s next price runup begins to take off, we’ll need to keep an eye out on the short interest (updated daily here) to identify whether it’s ‘the big one’, or merely small, short covering.

And as much as $1,000, $10,000, and $100,000 per share seems incredible, those things are out of your control.

My advice?

Don’t play the passive game.

Focus on what is in your control – increasing your multiplier and playing to win.

The community should throw out the question “how high will AMC squeeze?” and focus on profiting BIG and keeping an eye out on more price runup potential.

For example, AMC may have a big runup as executive order 14032 goes into effect next week, but the order may be amended (moved) shortly after.

If amended, this would mean AMC will have another price runup in the future where investors can profit from (again).

Everyone’s strategy will be different – just make sure you have one.

I’d love to hear your thoughts on the topic.

Leave your thoughts in the comment section of the blog below.

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Related: Is There a High Chance AMC Squeezes Next Week?

New Data Shows AMC and GME Stock are Manipulated

Proof AMC and GME are being manipulated
Proof AMC and GME stock are being manipulated

Data shows retail investors aren’t selling their AMC or GME stock, yet both stocks continue to plummet.

Are their share prices being manipulated?

Retail investors have been at war with hedge funds since the buy button was deleted from purchasing ‘meme stocks’ back in January of 2021.

Regulators such as the SEC have been under fire as well.

The SEC announced they would be voting on hedge fund disclosures, the vote was approved 3-1.

Keep reading for the latest AMC and GameStop market data.

franknez.com

Welcome to Franknez.com – the blog where you can digest content on trending stock, crypto, and market news. Today we’re discussing market manipulation and anomalies in both AMC and GME stock.

Let’s get started!

I want to give a massive shoutout to the retail community who has been bringing light to this information.

Without you, the community wouldn’t be what it is.

AMC Market Data

AMC market manipulation
AMC price does NOT match retail buying and holding

The yellow you’re seeing in this market data by CheddarFlow is identifying the strength in buying and holding AMC stock.

The blue line you’re seeing is AMC’s trading price decline.

The price does not reflect the true demand for the stock; in other words, retail investors are not selling AMC stock.

So, why is AMC stock’s share price plummeting although retail investors continue to buy and hold the stock?

This anomaly seems to be blatant market manipulation.

Not only have hedge funds faced intense scrutiny for playing dirty, but many have defaulted or are losing money betting against AMC and GameStop.

Here’s what an accurate chart analysis of how this pattern should be in sync.

Peloton accuracy
Peloton sell-off matches price drops

As you can see in this market data analysis, Peloton’s blue line (price) matches the yellow pattern of investors selling the stock.

This is an accurate representation of what a sell-off looks like when compared to the price of a stock.

When comparing Peloton’s market data vs AMC’s, we can clearly identify that AMC’s share price is being manipulated.

AMC shareholders are not selling their AMC stock, but rather hedge funds are using loopholes to drive the share price down.

What about GameStop (GME)?

GameStop manipulation
GameStop market manipulation

We’re seeing the same market manipulation in GameStop as we are with AMC stock.

GME shareholders continue to buy and hold the stock as hedge funds manipulate the share price by tanking it.

Naturally, the demand seen by retail investors should be driving AMC’s and GameStop’s share price upwards, not downwards.

AMC and GME share price are synthetic

AMC and GME share price are synthetic

When comparing both AMC and GameStop’s data to Peloton’s sell-off, we can only conclude that AMC’s and GameStop’s share prices are synthetic.

They do not reflect the demand in the stock market nor the psychology and sentiment within the communities.

The ape community has always been right when it comes to the nefarious strategies used to suppress the share price of these stocks.

Both AMC and GME stock are heavily shorted at 20% short interest according to Ortex.

However, the short interest reported can certainly be much higher that what Ortex, S3, and Ameritrade are being given to report.

Leave your thoughts in the comment section below.

What does this mean for retail investors?

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Retail investors who own shares in both AMC and GME stock have been experiencing a slow bleed in the markets.

The drops seem to be synthetically produced and are out of retail’s control.

Raising awareness of this market manipulation is the best fighting chance retail investors have.

There’s a massive suppression preventing AMC and GME stock from running a natural course based solely on supply and demand.

All activists fighting for a fair market should remain headstrong in creating change.

Lifting this suppression will drive both these stock’s share price up inevitably forcing short sellers to close their positions.

Thanks to @therealdarkpool on Twitter for pulling up this data.

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Why Didn’t AMC Squeeze Last Year in 2021? [Deep Dive]

Why didn't AMC squeeze last year?
Why didn’t AMC squeeze? And can it squeeze this year?

Many of you might be wondering why AMC didn’t squeeze last year in 2021.

The stock had an incredible year overall.

Retail investors who got in for a short squeeze play early came up more than 1000%!

However, these retail investors knowns as ‘apes’ continue to hold the stock into 2022.

After all, people got in for a short squeeze play, not to make a quick buck.

So, why didn’t AMC squeeze last year in 2021?

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Welcome to Franknez.com – today I want to touch topic on AMC since it’s been the most anticipated stock of all 2021. You’re going to want to stick around for this one.

Let’s get started!

AMC was one of the most searched for ticker symbols in 2021 and consistently trended on Yahoo Finance throughout the year.

Many of you aren’t new to the blog.

I was an early adopter in the AMC saga and helped a ton of people get in on this play early.

So, what was so special about buying AMC stock in 2021?

After GameStop’s share price increased to incredible levels nearing $500 per share, retail investors noticed AMC’s short interest was also high.

A high short interest meant the stock was heavily shorted therefore short sellers could be squeezed out of their positions, triggering a short squeeze (massive price flux.).

AMC experienced massive gains from $2 per share up to $20 per share.

Momentum then further escalated AMC’s share price to $72 per share before slowly cooling off to today’s price levels.

However, AMC didn’t fully squeeze last year, it merely removed small shorts from their positions during these runups.

But more on that later, let’s break down what is currently going on with AMC stock.

AMC Continues to Be Shorted

AMC Short Shares Available to borrow

AMC was one of the heaviest shorted stocks in the market last year.

Though mainstream media might claim that AMC squeezed last year, it only experienced gamma squeezes (momentum).

Because the short interest did fluctuate, we can access that some short covering did indeed occur.

However, AMC’s short interest is still relatively high.

When AMC soared to $72 per share last year the short interest dropped from 20% to 14%.

AMC’s current short interest is at 20%.

AMC Short Interest 2022

This means there’s ample room for AMC’s share price to continue surging in 2022.

Why didn’t shorts cover their positions in AMC last year?

A few short sellers did cover their short positions in AMC last year, though according to the short interest many open positions remain.

In fact, according to the short interest data, there’s approximately more than 102 million shares on loan that have yet to be closed.

Financial institutions have to close these positions at some point, and that’s whether they’re profitable or not.

Because short squeeze plays are rare, we’re learning more about their development through AMC and GameStop.

The matter of the fact is that AMC Entertainment is no longer going bankrupt so even if the share price drops below $10 and shorts cover profitable, we can expect to see a massive runup from the buying pressure happening all at once.

Why bigger shorts didn’t cover AMC last year is almost like saying why didn’t retail investors sell their stock last year.

Both retail and short sellers are going long on AMC Entertainment stock.

This means eventually individual people from both groups will begin to cave in.

And it’s an entire ecosystem of some taking profits or cutting their losses.

As AMC’s share price continues to drop in 2022, it provides short sellers with open positions in AMC from last year to finally close this year.

The results?

Massive price movements.

Market manipulation events

Market manipulation exposed
Market manipulation exposed

Retail investors who bought AMC stock last year saw a number of ways hedge funds manipulate the market.

From borrowing shares that don’t exist to short the stock, to OTC trading and dark pool trading, retail saw it all.

These predatorial strategies were used in efforts to discourage retail from further buying the stock.

Last year we saw Melvin Capital almost close if it weren’t for Citadel giving them a lifeline.

Mudrick threw in the towel and Archegos went bankrupt.

Anchorage Capital closed after 18 years; they had more than 4 million put options in AMC stock and were one of the top 10 institutional firms shorting AMC stock last year.

Another hedge fund on that list is Citadel Securites who lost billions in AMC in 2021, negatively affecting their customers.

Will this trend continue in 2022?

Leave a comment below.

How long can shorts drag not covering?

Just as retail investors can go long on a stock for many years, short sellers can also drag not covering for long periods of time.

This squeeze play will have intermittent episodes where we see some covering before new shorts open a position.

AMC Entertaiment is a hot spot for short sellers to bet against the stock and the company’s progress.

Will AMC Squeeze in 2022?

Why didn't AMC Squeeze in 2021? Can AMC squeeze in 2022?
Why didn’t AMC squeeze in 2021? Can AMC still squeeze in 2022?

As AMC’s share price continues to tumble, short sellers may begin to take profits by closing their short positions.

It’s this buying pressure that will ultimately lead AMC to experience major price moves this year.

Whether these price moves will trigger a chain of short covering or not is an event that has yet to unfold.

Could AMC squeeze in 2022?

Absolutely.

But while regulators fall back on the uncovering of synthetics, for now the short interest is the only data that confirms how much potential this squeeze has.

Don’t miss today’s topic discussion on YouTube at the end of the article.

You can read more about AMC’s short interest data for 2022 here.

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Family Offices Are Unregulated Hedge Funds [Exposed]

Family offices are unregulated hedge funds
Bill Hwang – founder of family office Archegos Capital

Incredible information has surfaced from the community in regard to unregulated hedge funds posing as family offices.

This industry holds trillions of dollars in assets globally with about 40% being held in the United States.

What’s more alarming is that these family offices aren’t regulated nor registered with the SEC (Securities Exchange Commission), allowing financial institutions to use this network of unregulated trading to their advantage.

In this article we’re going to dive deep into the seriousness of this inequality in the markets.

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Welcome to Franknez.com – the blog that protects retail investors from injustices in the markets. Today we’re discussing a loophole in the market that has been overlooked.

Let’s get started!

The inception of Archegos family office

Family offices Archegos

A well-known ‘family office’ you might have heard of is Archegos Capital, founded by Bill Hwang.

Archegos family office had $120 billion total exposure according to Credit Suisse Report, causing $10 billion in trading losses to the world’s largest banks.

Two of which included Credit Suisse and Morgan Stanley.

Bill Hwang was mentored by hedge fund expert Julian Robertson from Tiger Asia Management and Tiger Asia Partners, a hedge fund that was shut down by the U.S in 2012 for insider trading and manipulating Chinese stocks.

After getting banned from the investment advisory industry and a $44 million settlement with the SEC, Bill Hwang set up his family office, Archegos Capital.

Already with a history in crime, Bill Hwang’s family office was able to get away with several billions of dollars in stock positions due to the lack of regulatory measures.

The Archegos incident is currently known as one of the largest public margin calls in family offices, for now that is.

This shadow industry manages twice more assets than hedge funds registered with the SEC.

Family offices managing trillions in assets

Family Offices trillions in assets
Private offices own approximately twice in assets than hedge funds

Family offices are an unregulated corner of the financial marketplace with an estimated $6 to $7 trillion in assets under management (compared to $3.4 trillion in global hedge funds), via. Inequality.

Archegos revealed that family offices can create systemic risk due to their size, lack of regulation, and growing interest in ‘speculative investments’.

These growing interests in speculative investments may include the shorting of so called ‘meme stocks’ such as AMC and GameStop.

Hedge funds have been overleveraging their short positions in these stocks speculating the companies would go bankrupt shortly after the pandemic.

However, retail investors buying and holding the stock have caused hedge funds betting against these companies to lose billions of dollars.

To refrain from causing their clients further turmoil, we’ve seen an incredible amount of shorting happen in these stocks.

Anomalies in the stocks derive from either naked shorting, a network of unregulated trading, or both.

Hedge funds have used an array of loopholes to suppress the stock price of both AMC and GameStop to minimize consequential losses.

And the retail community is making a lot of noise.

Why aren’t these family offices regulated?

SEC

Those in favor of family offices believe light oversight is justified because these offices only serve private families.

Because they are not serving multiple clients, they believe these offices should not be subject to scrutiny.

Should these businesses be regulated and registered with the SEC?

I’d love to know your thoughts, leave a comment below.

The good news is that we have a New York Congresswoman by the name of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez from the House Financial Committee, introducing a bill that would fight to regulate these family offices.

She’s introducing HR 4620, the Family Office Regulation Act of 2021.

After the massive liquidation from Archegos Capital, regulators are seeking to gain access to private information from these family offices in order to mitigate risk.

Hedge funds have incredible access to market manipulation

Market manipulation

Hedge fund industry expert, Charles Gradante has mentioned market makers are in favor of short selling.

In an infinite pool of access to capital from banks, the feds, and family offices, it’s going to take much more than the SEC to regulate the market.

New systems must be put into place, organizations, and activist groups to speak on the matter publicly.

The retail community holding ‘meme stocks’ has sparked a movement to raise awareness surrounding the market manipulation from all complicit parties.

These offices have also moved into the crypto market which could explain the massive liquidity we’re seeing today.

Hedge funds and private offices need to be regulated to prevent market manipulation and systemic risk.

While retail investors bet on the rise and well-being of a company, financial institutions suppress the growth of stocks, posing a major threat to our economy.

China banned Citadel Securities due to “malicious short-selling”, the United States needs to do the same thing.

These massive hedge funds have an incredible network to overleverage their short positions in emerging and growing companies.

Private offices create an extension for hedge funds to short stocks without reporting their positions to the SEC.

And while not all family offices are a loophole for hedge funds, the ‘ape community’ continues to be right.

Watch this video for additional context

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The links cited on this article come from a community member by the username of AMCBIGGUMS, covered below.

I published a topic discussion on this article on my YouTube channel 🗣️🎬so make sure you don’t miss out 🔽

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