You might have heard all the ruckus going on with AMC and are now wondering, is AMC a good stock to buy?
What was once a struggling movie theatre chain company is now a rising phoenix innovating in every direction the market demands.
AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. came near bankruptcy when the pandemic shut down movie theatres across the country.
Now that the world seems to be going back to normal, people are wondering how the movie theatre chain will stand against online streaming.
In this article I’m going to break down earnings, debt, short percentage, and various key factors that will help you make a decision.
Welcome to Franknez.com – today I’m going to help you answer the question everyone wants to know. Is AMC a good stock to buy?
Let’s dive right into it!
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AMC now has positive EBITDA
AMC Entertainment announced during their Q4 earnings call that the company now has positive cash flow for the first time in two years.
EBITDA provides investors with a snapshot of a company’s overall financial performance.
AMC currently has a positive net cash flow of $160 million.
Why is this important?
The company almost went bankrupt during the lockdowns during the pandemic.
This is massive progress for any company to stand up after almost being defeated.
It demonstrates the will to succeed.
AMC box office grosses improved each and every quarter of 2020 and 2021 as the number of movie titles increased.
The company hosted approximately 60 million guests in the United States, Europe, and Middle East in Q4 of 2021 alone.
The recovery for AMC has been incredible in such a short period of time.
Now that the company has positive cash flow, AMC Entertainment will be able to provide more value to its guests and shareholders alike.
AMC Entertainment saw more than $1.8 billion in liquidity its fourth quarter of 2021 and anticipates doubling its revenue this year 2022.
With more movie titles coming to the big screen this new year, CEO and President Adam Aron says the $1.8 billion will provide AMC with more security and flexibility to go on the offense.
AMC Entertainment doesn’t plan on sitting on this money, but rather on using it to play offense and innovate.
Adam Aron says he plans on obtaining licensing agreements to feature live movie concerts and live sports events in theatres.
If you’re betting on AMC long term you might want to become an owner of the company by purchasing the stock.
90% of retail investors now own the century old movie theatre chain according to the CEO.
The company has a strong and loyal shareholder base that even played a major role in resuscitating the company when it faced bankruptcy.
Adam Aron praises his shareholders as they are the majority owners of the company.
It’s a first in history where shareholders have a massive ownership of a company this big.
The CEO communicates with shareholders on Twitter where he takes ideas from the public to better structure certain areas of the company.
The number of AMC shareholder has increased from 3 million last year to now more than 4 million this new year 2022.
Innovation and revenue streams
AMC Entertainment has really transformed its business model and is now taking form of a modern-type business.
This leading movie industry chain is now accepting cryptocurrencies as a form of online payment for movie theatre tickets, gift cards, and other accessories.
Not only have they cultivated the crypto movement, but the company is also releasing NFTs when new movie titles are released.
With NFTs, AMC Entertainment will earn a royalty every time an NFT is sold or traded in the marketplace.
This opens opportunity in the marketplace for both AMC Entertainment the company and the asset owner.
AMC Perfectly Popcorn brand is on track to hit retail stores and supermarkets this year too.
They will be selling AMC Perfectly Popcorn brand microwavable popcorn at your favorite grocery stores and outlets.
Adam Aron announced during the Q4 earnings call that AMC and UberEATS are working on making it possible to order pre-packaged popcorn for home-delivery services.
So even if you’re not going out to the movies, you can order AMC Perfectly Branded popcorn for that movie night at home.
This is just one way the company is hedging against online streaming.
Once the theatre chain has access to exclusively release live concerts and sports events, the theatrical experience is going to transform how we look at movie theatres today.
Although online streaming has blown up, the theatre experience is something you cannot replicate anywhere else.
And the data has spoken for it.
Does AMC have debt?
AMC Entertainment, like many companies has debt.
However, unlike the previous year when they had debt and negative cash flow, the company has eliminated most of its debt and created positive EBITDA.
AMC paid $61 million of deferred (postponed) rent in Q4 of 2021, reducing their total deferred rent to $315 million.
It reduced a total of $155 million of deferred rent over the last 9 months of 2021.
They plan to reduce the deferred rent by $150-$200 million in 2022 leaving them with $160-$115 million left for 2023.
This amount could be paid in full that same year.
So, while they still owe money, the execution is being handled with vigorous accountability and success.
AMC Entertainment should have no problem paying this off while maintaining a positive EBITDA through its multiple revenue streams.
Last year the company sold a $950 million junk bond which they used to pay down debt and refinance certain interests to much lower rates.
This has given the company much more flexibility than needed.
I think it’s fair to say the company has proved that it can handle its use of money quite well.
CEO Adam Aron also donated $1 million dollars of his personal money to charity in both stocks and cash.
“I benefited greatly as retail investors have embraced AMC. That makes it time for me to step up and personally give back.”CEo and president, adam aron
Does AMC offer dividends?
AMC currently does not offer dividends.
However, the company releases NFTs when new movie titles are released.
These NFTs can sell on NFT marketplaces for quite a large amount of money, depending on the rarity of course, but they’re out there.
The highest sold AMC NFT was a Spider-Man NFT that sold for $17,000 according to Adam Aron.
When Spider-Man No Way Home came out, the first movie ticket buyers received random Spider-Man NFTs.
This is another great incentive to encourage engagement and revenue for the company.
I mean, what other company is truly innovating like this?
Elon Musk announced in January Tesla would accept Dogecoin for its merchandise.
But even he hasn’t gotten involved in NFTs like Adam Aron has, with all respect to Mr. Musk.
AMC shareholders who signed up before December 31st of 2021 also received a series 1 “I Own AMC” NFT.
More than half a million of these NFTs were created and sent to shareholders for free.
I believe these series 1 NFTs will be worth a lot of money years down the road as the company releases a variety of series NFTs with series 1 being AMC’s ‘originals‘.
The concept is incredible but only time will tell.
Are you an NFT collector?
Leave a comment below.
Is AMC still being shorted?
AMC currently has a short interest of 22%.
It’s relatively high meaning short sellers continue to bet on AMC’s stock price to go down.
In fact, the Department of Justice is investigating short sellers and big-time hedge funds for illegally driving AMC and GameStop’s share prices down.
Short sellers have been long accused by the retail community of tampering with AMC’s share price as the demand for the stock has not been accurately reflecting on the price.
Once called conspiracy theorists, major publications and regulators have now confirmed every allegation.
Predatorial strategies in the market are real and AMC has been abused by them.
The retail community is fighting to lift the market manipulation imposed on so called ‘meme stocks’.
The lift would allow the stocks to naturally surge based on supply and demand.
Is AMC a good stock to short?
Hedge funds have lost billions of dollars betting against AMC Entertainment and now the Justice Department has gotten involved.
The SEC recently warned short sellers of ‘short squeeze’ risks in a market transparency report.
The number of activists in the retail community has multiplied over the months and year.
Can AMC still squeeze?
AMC’s current short interest is more than enough to send the share price to an all-time high.
The company’s stock reached $72 per share when the short interest was only at 20%.
The short interest came down to around 14% shortly after the price surge but has since gone up to now 21%.
When AMC climbed to $72 per share it was with only 6% short interest out of 20%.
Is it worth buying AMC for a short squeeze trade?
90% of retail investors holding the stock certainly think so.
For many, the reward outweighs the risk involved.
Though a wise man did once say, the only risk is not taking a risk at all.
Join my discord where many community members are discussing the data.
Is AMC a good stock to buy today?
What makes AMC so different from most stocks is the peculiar spot it’s in.
The company is working extremely hard to improve its fundamentals by innovating, paying off its debt, and increasing its revenue streams.
In the meantime, you have a loyal shareholder base looking to squeeze shorts from their positions while keep their ties to the company after successfully doing so.
Moody’s recently upgraded AMC to Caa2 rating saying the outlook on the company is positive amid the cinema industry’s recovery.
And while corporate (mainstream) media might tell you otherwise, it’s important to note that these companies are often times influenced and bought by hedge funds.
There’s no narrative here, only data.
Is AMC a good stock to buy?
The stock could be a great buy whether you’re looking at a long-term fundamental investment or whether you’re diving into a short squeeze trade.
Just remember, this is not financial advice, and my suggestion as always is to never put more money in the market than you can afford to lose.
Always do your due diligence and stick true to your conviction.
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